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Analysts Have Just Cut Their Kerry Properties Limited (HKG:683) Revenue Estimates By 13%
Analysts Have Just Cut Their Kerry Properties Limited (HKG:683) Revenue Estimates By 13%
The analysts covering Kerry Properties Limited (HKG:683) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Revenue estimates were cut sharply as analysts signalled a weaker outlook - perhaps a sign that investors should temper their expectations as well.
After this downgrade, Kerry Properties' nine analysts are now forecasting revenues of HK$15b in 2022. This would be a meaningful 12% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Prior to the latest estimates, the analysts were forecasting revenues of HK$18b in 2022. The consensus view seems to have become more pessimistic on Kerry Properties, noting the measurable cut to revenue estimates in this update.
View our latest analysis for Kerry Properties
SEHK:683 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 26th 2022The consensus price target fell 6.5% to HK$24.23, with the analysts clearly less optimistic about Kerry Properties' valuation following this update. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Kerry Properties, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at HK$27.00 and the most bearish at HK$20.70 per share. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or that the analysts have a clear view on its prospects.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Kerry Properties' past performance and to peers in the same industry. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Kerry Properties is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 25% annualised growth until the end of 2022. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 19% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 8.7% per year. Not only are Kerry Properties' revenues expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are also expecting it to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The clear low-light was that analysts slashing their revenue forecasts for Kerry Properties this year. Analysts also expect revenues to grow faster than the wider market. The consensus price target fell measurably, with analysts seemingly not reassured by recent business developments, leading to a lower estimate of Kerry Properties' future valuation. Often, one downgrade can set off a daisy-chain of cuts, especially if an industry is in decline. So we wouldn't be surprised if the market became a lot more cautious on Kerry Properties after today.
As you can see, the analysts clearly aren't bullish, and there might be good reason for that. We've identified some potential issues with Kerry Properties' financials, such as recent substantial insider selling. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 2 other risks we've identified.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
覆盖的分析师嘉里置业有限公司香港上市公司(HKG:683)今天对股东今年的法定预测进行了大幅修订,给股东们带来了一些负面影响。营收预期大幅下调,因为分析师发出前景较弱的信号--或许这是一个迹象,表明投资者也应该降低预期。
在此次评级下调后,嘉里地产的9位分析师现在预测,2022年的营收将达到150亿港元。与过去12个月相比,这将是有意义的12%的销售额增长。在最新估计之前,分析师预测2022年营收为180亿港元。一致的观点似乎对嘉里地产变得更加悲观,他们指出,在此次更新中,收入预期大幅下调。
查看我们对嘉里地产的最新分析
联交所:683盈利及收入增长2022年8月26日一致的目标价下跌6.5%,至24.23港元,分析师对嘉里地产的估值在此次更新后明显不那么乐观。共识价格目标只是个别分析师目标的平均值,因此-看看基础估计的范围有多大可能很方便。外界对嘉里地产的看法不一,最乐观的分析师对其估值为27.00港元,最悲观的分析师估值为每股20.7港元。估值之间的狭窄差距可能表明,该公司的未来相对容易估值,或者分析师对其前景有明确的看法。
这些估计很有趣,但在看到预测与嘉里地产过去的表现以及同行业同行的预测如何比较时,勾勒出一些更宽泛的笔触可能会很有用。从这些估计中,有一件事引人注目,那就是嘉里地产预计未来的增长速度将快于过去,预计到2022年底,收入将呈现25%的年化增长。如果实现这一目标,这将比过去五年19%的年降幅要好得多。相比之下,我们的数据显示,该行业的其他公司(有分析师覆盖)的收入预计将以每年8.7%的速度增长。嘉里地产的营收不仅有望改善,分析师们似乎还预计其增长速度将快于整个行业。
底线
明显的低光是,分析师大幅下调了对嘉里地产今年的营收预期。分析师还预计,该公司营收增速将快于大盘。一致的目标价大幅下降,分析师似乎对最近的业务发展并不放心,导致对嘉里地产未来估值的估计较低。通常情况下,一次评级下调就会引发一连串的削减,特别是在一个行业正在衰落的情况下。因此,如果市场在今天之后对嘉里地产变得更加谨慎,我们也不会感到惊讶。
正如你所看到的,分析师们显然并不看好股市,这或许是有充分理由的。我们已经发现了嘉里地产的一些潜在财务问题,比如最近的大规模内幕销售。有关更多信息,您可以单击此处了解这一点以及我们已确定的其他两个风险。
当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在下调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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