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Investors in GATX (NYSE:GATX) Have Made a Respectable Return of 87% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in GATX (NYSE:GATX) Have Made a Respectable Return of 87% Over the Past Five Years
Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But you can do a lot better than that by buying good quality businesses for attractive prices. For example, the GATX Corporation (NYSE:GATX) share price is up 65% in the last five years, slightly above the market return. It's also good to see that the stock is up 12% in a year.
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
Check out our latest analysis for GATX
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During five years of share price growth, GATX actually saw its EPS drop 3.3% per year.
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.
The revenue reduction of 2.5% per year is not a positive. So it seems one might have to take closer look at earnings and revenue trends to see how they might influence the share price.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
NYSE:GATX Earnings and Revenue Growth August 25th 2022It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think GATX will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, GATX's TSR for the last 5 years was 87%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that GATX shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 15% over the last year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 13% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand GATX better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for GATX you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
被动投资指数基金可以产生与整体市场大致相当的回报。但通过以有吸引力的价格收购质量好的企业,你可以做得更好。例如,GATX公司(纽约证券交易所代码:GATX)股价在过去五年中上涨了65%,略高于市场回报率。看到该股在一年内上涨了12%,这也是一件好事。
因此,让我们来调查一下,看看该公司的长期表现是否与基础业务的发展一致。
查看我们对GATX的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔的超级投资者沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映一家企业的价值。评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
在股价增长的五年中,GATX的每股收益实际上每年下降3.3%。
粗略地看一下这些数字,我们可以断定,每股收益的下降并不能代表企业多年来的变化。因此,有必要看看其他指标,试图了解股价走势。
每年2.5%的收入减少并不是积极的。因此,人们似乎必须更仔细地观察收益和收入趋势,看看它们可能会如何影响股价。
你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片可以发现确切的价值)。
纽约证券交易所:GATX收益和收入增长2022年8月25日可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管CEO的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是,公司能否在未来实现收益增长。因此,看看分析师认为GATX未来将获得什么收入(免费利润预测)是很有意义的。
那股息呢?
在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。TSR包括任何剥离或贴现融资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。碰巧的是,GATX过去5年的TSR为87%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
不同的视角
很高兴看到GATX的股东在过去一年里获得了15%的总股东回报。这还包括股息。由于一年期的TSR好于五年期的TSR(后者的年收益率为13%),看起来该股的表现最近有所改善。持乐观观点的人可能会认为,最近TSR的改善表明,业务本身正在随着时间的推移而变得更好。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但为了更好地理解GATX,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了关贸总协定的3个警告标志你应该意识到,其中1个是重要的。
如果你像我一样,你会的不想怀念这一切吗?免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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