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Analysts Just Shaved Their Tellgen Corporation (SZSE:300642) Forecasts Dramatically
Analysts Just Shaved Their Tellgen Corporation (SZSE:300642) Forecasts Dramatically
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Tellgen Corporation (SZSE:300642), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.
After this downgrade, Tellgen's three analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥742m in 2022. This would be a notable 10% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to shrink 6.9% to CN¥0.74 in the same period. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥825m and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.08 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Tellgen's prospects, administering a substantial drop in revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
Check out our latest analysis for Tellgen
SZSE:300642 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 24th 2022The consensus price target fell 8.9% to CN¥30.90, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Tellgen analyst has a price target of CN¥39.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥22.79. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2022 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 22% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 20% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 22% annually. It's clear that while Tellgen's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Tellgen. There was also a drop in their revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Tellgen.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Tellgen analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最新的分析师报道可能预示着对泰尔根公司(SZSE:300642),分析师们全面削减了他们的法定预期,这可能会让股东们有点震惊。营收和每股收益(EPS)预期都遭到了下调,这表明分析师对这项业务的态度已经恶化到了极点。
在此次评级下调后,泰尔根的三位分析师现在预测,2022年的收入将达到7.42亿元人民币。与过去12个月相比,这将是销售额显著提高10%。预计同期法定每股收益将缩水6.9%至0.74加元。在此次最新数据更新之前,分析师一直预测2022年的营收为8.25亿加元,每股收益为1.08加元。事实上,我们可以看到,分析师们对泰尔根的前景更加悲观,大幅下调了营收预期,并大幅下调了每股收益预期。
查看我们对Tellgen的最新分析
深圳证交所:300642收益和收入增长2022年8月24日共识目标股价下跌8.9%,至人民币30.90元,较弱的盈利前景明显领先于分析师的估值预期。然而,这并不是我们可以从这些数据中得出的唯一结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的价格目标时,也喜欢考虑预期中的价差。最乐观的Tellgen分析师的目标价为每股39.00元,而最悲观的分析师认为目标价为22.79元。这些目标价表明,分析师对该业务确实有一些不同的看法,但估计的差异还不足以向我们表明,一些人押注于大获全胜或彻底失败。
当然,看待这些预测的另一种方式是将它们放在与行业本身相反的背景下。分析师们表示,截至2022年底的一段时间内,收入将出现更多相同的情况,预计收入将按年率计算增长22%。这与其过去五年20%的年增长率一致。相比之下,分析师估计整个行业的收入将以每年22%的速度增长。很明显,尽管泰尔根的收入增长预计将继续保持目前的轨道,但预计只会与行业本身同步增长。
底线
新的预估中最大的问题是,分析师下调了每股收益预估,这表明泰尔根面临着商业逆风。他们的收入预期也有所下降,尽管正如我们早先看到的那样,预期增长仅与更广泛的市场大致相同。随着今年预期的大幅下调和目标价的下降,如果投资者对泰尔根变得谨慎,我们也不会感到意外。
话虽如此,该公司盈利的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。我们有来自多位Tellgen分析师的估计-到2024年,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到它们。
当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在下调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
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