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Shareholders in People's Insurance Company (Group) of China (HKG:1339) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago
Shareholders in People's Insurance Company (Group) of China (HKG:1339) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term The People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Limited (HKG:1339) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 36% over a half decade.
Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
View our latest analysis for People's Insurance Company (Group) of China
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
While the share price declined over five years, People's Insurance Company (Group) of China actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 7.7% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.
Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.
The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
SEHK:1339 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 22nd 2022It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. If you are thinking of buying or selling People's Insurance Company (Group) of China stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of People's Insurance Company (Group) of China, it has a TSR of -19% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that People's Insurance Company (Group) of China shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 5.4% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 4% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for People's Insurance Company (Group) of China you should know about.
But note: People's Insurance Company (Group) of China may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
为了证明挑选个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市场指数基金的回报。但在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会喜忧参半。所以我们不会责怪长期中国人民保险(集团)股份有限公司(HKG:1339)股东对他们持有股票的决定表示怀疑,该股在五年内下跌了36%。
现在让我们来看看该公司的基本面,看看长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。
查看我们对中国人民保险公司(集团)的最新分析
本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原话是:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
在股价连续五年下跌的情况下,中国人民保险公司(集团)实际上成功地增加每股收益平均每年增长7.7%。因此,每股收益似乎并不能很好地指导人们理解市场对股票的估值。也有可能,此前市场非常乐观,因此尽管每股收益有所改善,但该股仍令人失望。
由于每股收益增长和股价下跌之间缺乏相关性,因此有必要看看其他指标,试图了解股价走势。
稳定的股息并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。我们目前还不清楚为什么股价会下跌,但进一步的研究可能会提供一些答案。
您可以在下图中看到收益和收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看确切的值)。
联交所:2022年8月22日盈利及收入增长1339可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管CEO的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是,公司能否在未来实现收益增长。如果你正在考虑买卖中国人民保险公司(集团)的股票,你应该看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。
那股息呢?
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。以中国人民保险公司(集团)为例,其最近5年的总资产收益率为-19%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
不同的视角
很高兴看到中国人民保险公司(集团)的股东在过去一年中获得了5.4%的总股东回报。这还包括股息。这当然超过了过去五年每年约4%的损失。我们通常更看重短期的长期表现,但最近的改善可能暗示着业务内部出现(积极的)拐点。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,考虑一下风险。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现1中国人民保险公司(集团)警示标志你应该知道。
但请注意:中国人民保险公司(集团)可能不是最好的买入股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费过去有盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
风险及免责提示
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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