It's nice to see the Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited (HKG:6098) share price up 10% in a week. But that is meagre solace when you consider how the price has plummeted over the last year. To wit, the stock has dropped 74% over the last year. Arguably, the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. Only time will tell if the company can sustain the turnaround.
While the last year has been tough for Country Garden Services Holdings shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
View our latest analysis for Country Garden Services Holdings
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the unfortunate twelve months during which the Country Garden Services Holdings share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 32%. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.
It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.
Country Garden Services Holdings managed to grow revenue over the last year, which is usually a real positive. Since we can't easily explain the share price movement based on these metrics, it might be worth considering how market sentiment has changed towards the stock.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
SEHK:6098 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 18th 2022
It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. If you are thinking of buying or selling Country Garden Services Holdings stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
A Different Perspective
The last twelve months weren't great for Country Garden Services Holdings shares, which performed worse than the market, costing holders 74%, including dividends. The market shed around 17%, no doubt weighing on the stock price. Shareholders have lost 6% per year over the last three years, so the share price drop has become steeper, over the last year; a potential symptom of as yet unsolved challenges. Although Baron Rothschild famously said to "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", he also focusses on high quality stocks with solid prospects. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Country Garden Services Holdings (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
很高兴能看到碧桂园服务股份有限公司(HKG:6098)股价一周内上涨10%。但当你考虑到过去一年的价格暴跌时,这只是一种微不足道的安慰。换句话说,该股在过去一年里下跌了74%。可以说,在经历了如此严重的下跌之后,最近的反弹是意料之中的。只有时间才能证明该公司能否持续扭亏为盈。
尽管过去一年对碧桂园服务的股东来说是艰难的一年,但过去一周显示出了希望的迹象。因此,让我们看看较长期的基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动因素。
查看我们对碧桂园服务的最新分析
虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的企业表现。考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
不幸的是,在碧桂园服务股价下跌的12个月里,它的每股收益(EPS)提高了32%。当然,这种情况可能会暴露出之前对增长的过度乐观。
令人惊讶的是,尽管每股收益有所改善,但股价却下跌了这么多。但我们可能会发现一些不同的衡量标准可以更好地解释股价走势。
碧桂园服务在去年设法实现了营收增长,这通常是一个真正的积极因素。由于我们不能轻易地根据这些指标来解释股价走势,或许值得考虑一下市场情绪是如何改变对股票的看法的。
下图描述了收益和收入随时间的变化(通过单击图像来揭示确切的价值)。
联交所:6098盈利及收入增长2022年8月18日
可能值得注意的是,我们在上个季度看到了大量的内幕收购,我们认为这是一个积极的因素。尽管如此,我们认为收益和收入增长趋势是更重要的考虑因素。如果你正在考虑买卖碧桂园服务的股票,你应该看看这个。免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。
不同的视角
过去12个月对碧桂园服务股票来说不是很好,它的表现逊于大盘,持股者损失了74%,其中包括股息。股市下跌了约17%,无疑拖累了股价。股东在过去三年里每年损失6%,因此股价在过去一年里跌幅变得更大;这是尚未解决的挑战的潜在症状。尽管罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过一句名言:“当街上有血的时候就买进,即使血是你自己的”,但他也专注于前景看好的高质量股票。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。为此,您应该了解2个警告标志我们已经看到了碧桂园服务(包括1名有点不愉快的球员)。
如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。