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Newsflash: Riverstone Holdings Limited (SGX:AP4) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Revenue Forecasts
Newsflash: Riverstone Holdings Limited (SGX:AP4) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Revenue Forecasts
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Riverstone Holdings Limited (SGX:AP4), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. There was a fairly draconian cut to their revenue estimates, perhaps an implicit admission that previous forecasts were much too optimistic.
After the downgrade, the consensus from Riverstone Holdings' five analysts is for revenues of RM1.5b in 2022, which would reflect an uncomfortable 20% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to plummet 42% to RM0.23 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of RM1.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of RM0.24 in 2022. It looks like analyst sentiment has fallen somewhat in this update, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a minor downgrade to earnings per share numbers as well.
Check out our latest analysis for Riverstone Holdings
SGX:AP4 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 17th 2022It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 12% to S$0.76. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Riverstone Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at S$0.82 and the most bearish at S$0.74 per share. With such a narrow range of valuations, analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 20% by the end of 2022. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 31% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 16% per year. It's pretty clear that Riverstone Holdings' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Riverstone Holdings. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Riverstone Holdings' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. The consensus price target fell measurably, with analysts seemingly not reassured by recent business developments, leading to a lower estimate of Riverstone Holdings' future valuation. Given the stark change in sentiment, we'd understand if investors became more cautious on Riverstone Holdings after today.
As you can see, the analysts clearly aren't bullish, and there might be good reason for that. We've identified some potential issues with Riverstone Holdings' financials, such as the risk of cutting its dividend. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 1 other concern we've identified.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最新的分析师报道可能预示着对Riverstone Holdings Limited(SGX:AP4),分析师们全面削减了他们的法定估计,这可能会让股东们有点震惊。他们的营收预期下调得相当严厉,或许是含蓄地承认之前的预测过于乐观。
评级下调后,Riverstone Holdings的五位分析师一致认为,2022年的收入将达到15亿林吉特,这将反映出与去年业绩相比,销售额下降了令人不安的20%。同期法定每股收益预计将暴跌42%,至0.23林吉特。在此次更新之前,分析师一直预测2022年收入为16亿林吉特,每股收益(EPS)为0.24林吉特。在这一更新中,分析师的信心似乎有所下降,营收预期大幅下降,每股收益数字也略有下调。
查看我们对Riverstone Holdings的最新分析
新交所:AP4收益和收入增长2022年8月17日得知分析师将目标股价下调12%至0.76新元,也就不足为奇了。然而,盯着一个单一的价格目标可能是不明智的,因为共识目标实际上是分析师价格目标的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢看看预估区间,看看对该公司的估值是否存在分歧意见。对于Riverstone Holdings有一些不同的看法,最乐观的分析师对其估值为0.82新元,最悲观的分析师估值为每股0.74新元。在如此狭窄的估值范围内,分析师们显然对他们认为的企业价值有着相似的看法。
了解这些预测的更多背景信息的一种方法是,看看它们与过去的表现如何比较,以及同行业的其他公司的表现如何。这些估计意味着销售预计将放缓,预计到2022年底年化收入将下降20%。这表明,与过去五年31%的年增长率相比,这一数字大幅下降。与我们的数据相比,我们的数据显示,同行业的其他公司预计收入将以每年16%的速度增长。很明显,Riverstone Holdings的营收预计将远远逊于整个行业。
底线
新的预估中最大的问题是,分析师下调了每股收益预估,这表明Riverstone Holdings未来将面临业务逆风。不幸的是,分析师也下调了他们的收入预期,行业数据显示,Riverstone Holdings的收入增长预计将低于更广泛的市场。一致的目标价大幅下降,分析师似乎对最近的业务发展并不放心,导致对Riverstone Holdings未来估值的估计较低。考虑到投资者情绪的急剧变化,如果投资者在今天之后对Riverstone Holdings变得更加谨慎,我们会理解的。
正如你所看到的,分析师们显然并不看好股市,这或许是有充分理由的。我们已经发现了Riverstone Holdings的一些潜在财务问题,比如削减股息的风险。有关更多信息,您可以单击此处了解这一点以及我们确定的1个其他问题。
当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在下调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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