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Investors in China Merchants Port Holdings (HKG:144) Have Unfortunately Lost 28% Over the Last Five Years
Investors in China Merchants Port Holdings (HKG:144) Have Unfortunately Lost 28% Over the Last Five Years
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in China Merchants Port Holdings Company Limited (HKG:144), since the last five years saw the share price fall 50%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 14% in the last three months.
Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
Check out our latest analysis for China Merchants Port Holdings
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
While the share price declined over five years, China Merchants Port Holdings actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 3.3% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.
Based on these numbers, we'd venture that the market may have been over-optimistic about forecast growth, half a decade ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.
The most recent dividend was actually lower than it was in the past, so that may have sent the share price lower.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
SEHK:144 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 15th 2022We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on China Merchants Port Holdings
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China Merchants Port Holdings' TSR for the last 5 years was -28%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that China Merchants Port Holdings shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 12% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 5% per year over five years. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Merchants Port Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for China Merchants Port Holdings you should know about.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
为了证明挑选个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市场指数基金的回报。但主要的游戏是找到足够多的赢家来抵消输家在这一点上一些股东可能会质疑他们对招商证券港口控股有限公司(HKG:144),自过去五年股价下跌50%以来。股价最近加速下跌,在过去三个月里下跌了14%。
现在让我们来看看该公司的基本面,看看长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。
查看我们对招商证券港口控股公司的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔的超级投资者沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映一家企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以感受到投资者对一家公司的态度随着时间的推移发生了怎样的变化。
虽然股价在五年内下跌,但招商证券港口控股实际上成功地增加每股收益平均每年增长3.3%。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑,每股收益不是这段时间内业务表现的良好指南(可能是因为一次性的亏损或收益)。也有可能,此前市场非常乐观,因此尽管每股收益有所改善,但该股仍令人失望。
根据这些数据,我们敢打赌,五年前,市场可能对增长预期过于乐观。看看其他指标可能更好地解释了股价的变化。
最近的股息实际上低于过去,所以这可能导致了股价下跌。
下图显示了收益和收入随时间的变化情况(如果您点击该图,您可以看到更多详细信息)。
联交所:144盈利及收入增长2022年8月15日我们很高兴地报告,这位首席执行官的薪酬比类似资本公司的大多数首席执行官都要低。但是,尽管CEO的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是,公司能否在未来实现收益增长。这免费显示分析师预测的报告应该有助于您形成对招商证券港口控股的看法
那股息呢?
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。碰巧,招商证券港口控股最近5年的总回报率为-28%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
不同的视角
很高兴看到招商证券港口控股的股东在过去一年中获得了12%的总股东回报。当然,这包括股息。毫无疑问,最近的回报率比TSR在五年内每年5%的损失要好得多。长期的亏损让我们保持谨慎,但短期的TSR收益肯定暗示着更光明的未来。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但要更好地理解招商证券港务控股,还需要考虑很多其他因素。例如,考虑一下风险。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现招商证券港口控股公司的2个警告标志你应该知道。
如果你更愿意看看另一家公司--一家财务状况可能更好的公司--那么不要错过这一点免费已证明自己能够实现盈利增长的公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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