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The total return for Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last three years
The total return for Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last three years
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For instance the Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) share price is 138% higher than it was three years ago. How nice for those who held the stock! On the other hand, we note it's down 8.3% in about a month. We note that the broader market is down 2.6% in the last month, and this may have impacted Greentown China Holdings' share price.
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 5.4%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
See our latest analysis for Greentown China Holdings
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During three years of share price growth, Greentown China Holdings achieved compound earnings per share growth of 93% per year. The average annual share price increase of 33% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock. We'd venture the lowish P/E ratio of 9.51 also reflects the negative sentiment around the stock.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
SEHK:3900 Earnings Per Share Growth August 15th 2022We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Greentown China Holdings, it has a TSR of 168% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Greentown China Holdings has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 45% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 13% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Greentown China Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
Greentown China Holdings is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最糟糕的结果是,在购买了一家公司的股票后(假设没有杠杆),你投入的所有资金都会亏损。但当你选择一家真正蓬勃发展的公司时,你可以制作超过100%。例如,绿城中国控股有限公司(HKG:3900)股价较三年前高出138%。对于那些持有股票的人来说,这是多么好的一件事!另一方面,我们注意到它在大约一个月的时间里下跌了8.3%。我们注意到,上个月大盘下跌了2.6%,这可能影响了绿城中国控股的股价。
由于长期表现良好,但最近出现了5.4%的回调,让我们看看基本面是否与股价匹配。
查看我们对绿城中国控股的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔的超级投资者沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映一家企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以感受到投资者对一家公司的态度随着时间的推移发生了怎样的变化。
在三年的股价增长中,绿城中国控股实现了每股收益每年93%的复合增长。平均每年33%的股价涨幅实际上低于每股收益的增长。因此,人们可以合理地得出结论,市场对该股的态度已经降温。我们敢说,9.51的低市盈率也反映了围绕该股的负面情绪。
您可以在下面看到EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(通过单击图像来了解确切的值)。
联交所:每股盈利增长3900 2022年8月15日我们认为,内部人士在过去一年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。即便如此,未来的收益对现有股东是否赚钱将重要得多。在买卖股票之前,我们总是建议仔细检查一下历史增长趋势,可在此处找到。
那股息呢?
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。就绿城中国控股而言,它在过去3年的总资产收益率为168%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!
不同的视角
很高兴看到绿城中国控股在过去12个月里回报了股东45%的总回报。这确实包括了股息。由于一年期的TSR好于五年期的TSR(后者的年收益率为13%),看起来该股的表现最近有所改善。持乐观观点的人可能会认为,最近TSR的改善表明,业务本身正在随着时间的推移而变得更好。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,承担风险-绿城中国控股有限公司3个警示标志(1)我们认为你应该知道这一点。
绿城中国控股并不是业内人士买入的唯一股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费内幕收购的成长型公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
风险及免责提示
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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