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Geely Automobile Holdings (HKG:175) shareholders notch a 19% CAGR over 3 years, yet earnings have been shrinking
Geely Automobile Holdings (HKG:175) shareholders notch a 19% CAGR over 3 years, yet earnings have been shrinking
One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. Just take a look at Geely Automobile Holdings Limited (HKG:175), which is up 61%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 8.3% (not including dividends).
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Geely Automobile Holdings
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Over the last three years, Geely Automobile Holdings failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 30% (annualized).
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.
Languishing at just 1.1%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. The revenue drop of 1.5% is as underwhelming as some politicians. What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
SEHK:175 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 8th 2022We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. You can see what analysts are predicting for Geely Automobile Holdings in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Geely Automobile Holdings' TSR for the last 3 years was 68%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 17% in the twelve months, Geely Automobile Holdings shareholders did even worse, losing 34% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 1.1% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Geely Automobile Holdings that you should be aware of.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
从股市获益的一个简单方法是购买指数基金。但我们中的许多人都敢于梦想更高的回报,并自己建立投资组合。只要看一看吉利汽车控股有限公司(HKG:175),三年来上涨了61%,稳健地超过了市场8.3%的跌幅(不包括股息)。
在连续7天表现稳健的基础上,让我们来看看该公司的基本面在推动长期股东回报方面发挥了什么作用。
查看我们对吉利汽车控股的最新分析
虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的企业表现。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
在过去的三年里,吉利汽车控股未能实现每股收益的增长,每股收益下降了30%(折合成年率)。
因此,我们怀疑市场是否在指望每股收益作为其对公司价值的主要判断。因此,我们认为其他指标也值得考虑。
股息仅为1.1%,我们怀疑股息对支撑股价起到了多大作用。1.5%的收入降幅和一些政客一样平淡无奇。显而易见的是,历史收益和营收与股价走势并没有很好的匹配。因此,你可能需要更深入地调查,才能掌握情况
下图描述了收益和收入随时间的变化(通过单击图像来揭示确切的价值)。
联交所:175盈利及收入增长2022年8月8日我们喜欢的是,内部人士在过去12个月一直在买入股票。即便如此,未来的收益对现有股东是否赚钱将重要得多。你可以在这里看到分析师对吉利汽车控股的预测互动未来利润预估图表。
那股息呢?
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。公平地说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。碰巧,吉利汽车控股最近3年的总回报率为68%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!
不同的视角
虽然大盘在过去12个月里损失了约17%,但吉利汽车控股的股东表现更糟,损失了34%(甚至包括股息)。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本面的发展。好的一面是,长期股东已经赚到了钱,过去五年的年回报率为1.1%。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,我们已经确定吉利汽车控股的1个警告标志这一点你应该知道。
如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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