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Housing Collapse? Exclusive Benzinga Earnings Data Suggests Otherwise
Housing Collapse? Exclusive Benzinga Earnings Data Suggests Otherwise
The second-quarter reporting season is entering its final leg, and data suggests the earnings growth of S&P 500 companies may have tapered off to the slowest pace since the fourth quarter of 2020.
What Happened: Homebuilders have shown a surprisingly resilient earnings performance, according to analysis of data compiled by Benzinga.
Out of the companies that have reported thus far, 91.7% revealed earnings per share that beat estimates. The remaining 8.3% reported earnings misses. Among the notable homebuilders reporting positive earnings surprises were:
- Atlanta, Georgia-based residential homebuilder Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (NYSE:BZH) reported earnings per share of $1.76, ahead of the consensus estimate of $1.42. The earnings, however, came from cost control as revenue declined year-over-year. Commissions paid also fell. Among other key metrics, new home orders were down 22.9% at 925 in the second quarter.
- Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH), a Scottsdale, Arizona-based homebuilder, reported 11% revenue growth and EPS of $6.77, ahead of the $5.87 consensus estimate. The number of units of homes closed fell 2% but home closing revenue rose 11%, reflecting higher home prices. The company refrained from providing full-year guidance, citing the lack of visibility into the market.
- Texas-based homebuilder LGI Homes, Inc. (NASDAQ:LGIH) announced an 8.6% decline in homebuilding revenue and EPS of $5.24, ahead of the $4.29 per share consensus estimate. Home closings fell 29%, but average sales price increased by 28.7%.
- Reston, Virginia-based NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR), however, reported below-consensus EPS.
Most major homebuilders are scheduled to report in the coming days.
Read Elon Musk's cautionary remarks on the U.S. housing market
State Of Housing Market: U.S. home prices have skyrocketed in recent months despite higher mortgage rates and an increase in home supply.
A typical U.S. home's value has reached $354,165, up by 19.8% from a year ago, according to real estate marketplace Zillow.
Higher mortgage rates in the wake of the Fed's monetary policy normalization and fears of a protracted recession are pressuring the sector.
Pending home sales data released by the National Association of Realtors showed an 8.6% year-over-year drop. The metric is considered a leading indicator of home sales, as it measures the change in the number of homes under contract to be sold.
NAR's existing home sales data for June also showed a year-over-year decline for the month, with sales falling for a fifth straight month.
Falling housing affordability was attributed as the reason for the slip in sales by NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.
Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi warned of a worsening of the situation.
"The U.S. housing market is about to enter a 'deep freeze,' as surging borrowing rates and stubbornly high prices lock out a growing number of buyers," Zandi said, according to Business Insider.
The earnings beat by early reporters among the homebuilders should, therefore, be taken with a pinch of salt.
The second-quarter reporting season is entering its final leg, and data suggests the earnings growth of S&P 500 companies may have tapered off to the slowest pace since the fourth quarter of 2020.
第二季度财报季即将进入最后阶段,数据显示,标准普尔500指数成份股公司的盈利增长可能已放缓至2020年第四季度以来的最低水平。
What Happened: Homebuilders have shown a surprisingly resilient earnings performance, according to analysis of data compiled by Benzinga.
Out of the companies that have reported thus far, 91.7% revealed earnings per share that beat estimates. The remaining 8.3% reported earnings misses. Among the notable homebuilders reporting positive earnings surprises were:
发生的事情:根据Benzinga汇编的数据分析,房屋建筑商的盈利表现出人意料地具有弹性。
在迄今公布财报的公司中,91.7%的公司披露的每股收益超出预期。其余8.3%的公司报告业绩不佳。在公布了积极收益惊喜的著名住宅建筑商中,有:
- Atlanta, Georgia-based residential homebuilder Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (NYSE:BZH) reported earnings per share of $1.76, ahead of the consensus estimate of $1.42. The earnings, however, came from cost control as revenue declined year-over-year. Commissions paid also fell. Among other key metrics, new home orders were down 22.9% at 925 in the second quarter.
- Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH), a Scottsdale, Arizona-based homebuilder, reported 11% revenue growth and EPS of $6.77, ahead of the $5.87 consensus estimate. The number of units of homes closed fell 2% but home closing revenue rose 11%, reflecting higher home prices. The company refrained from providing full-year guidance, citing the lack of visibility into the market.
- Texas-based homebuilder LGI Homes, Inc. (NASDAQ:LGIH) announced an 8.6% decline in homebuilding revenue and EPS of $5.24, ahead of the $4.29 per share consensus estimate. Home closings fell 29%, but average sales price increased by 28.7%.
- Reston, Virginia-based NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR), however, reported below-consensus EPS.
- 总部位于佐治亚州亚特兰大的住宅建筑商Beazer Home USA,Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:BZH)公布的每股收益为1.76美元,高于市场普遍预期的1.42美元。然而,由于收入同比下降,收益来自成本控制。支付的佣金也有所下降。在其他关键指标中,第二季度新屋订单下降22.9%,至925套。
- 梅里吉特家居公司总部位于亚利桑那州斯科茨代尔的住宅建筑商(纽约证券交易所股票代码:MTH)公布营收增长11%,每股收益6.77美元,高于市场普遍预期的5.87美元。房屋成交数量下降2%,但房屋成交收入增长11%,反映出房价上涨。该公司没有提供全年指导,理由是缺乏对市场的可见性。
- 总部位于德克萨斯州的住宅建筑商纳斯达克(股票代码:LGIH)宣布房屋建设收入下降8.6%,每股收益下降5.24美元,高于市场普遍预期的每股4.29美元。房屋成交量下降了29%,但平均销售价格上升了28.7%。
- 总部位于弗吉尼亚州雷斯顿然而,NVR,Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:NVR)公布的每股收益低于共识。
Most major homebuilders are scheduled to report in the coming days.
大多数主要房屋建筑商计划在未来几天公布财报。
Read Elon Musk's cautionary remarks on the U.S. housing market
阅读埃隆·马斯克对美国房地产市场的警示评论
State Of Housing Market: U.S. home prices have skyrocketed in recent months despite higher mortgage rates and an increase in home supply.
住房市场状况:尽管抵押贷款利率上升,房屋供应增加,但近几个月来,美国房价飙升。
A typical U.S. home's value has reached $354,165, up by 19.8% from a year ago, according to real estate marketplace Zillow.
根据房地产市场Zillow的数据,美国普通住宅的价值已经达到354,165美元,比一年前上涨了19.8%。
Higher mortgage rates in the wake of the Fed's monetary policy normalization and fears of a protracted recession are pressuring the sector.
美联储货币政策正常化后抵押贷款利率上升,以及对长期衰退的担忧正在给该行业带来压力。
Pending home sales data released by the National Association of Realtors showed an 8.6% year-over-year drop. The metric is considered a leading indicator of home sales, as it measures the change in the number of homes under contract to be sold.
全美房地产经纪人协会(National Association Of Realtors)公布的成屋待完成销售数据显示,该数据同比下降8.6%。该指标被认为是房屋销售的领先指标,因为它衡量了合同中待售房屋数量的变化。
NAR's existing home sales data for June also showed a year-over-year decline for the month, with sales falling for a fifth straight month.
NAR公布的6月成屋销售数据也显示当月同比下滑,销售连续第五个月下滑。
Falling housing affordability was attributed as the reason for the slip in sales by NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.
NAR首席经济学家认为,住房可负担性下降是销售下滑的原因劳伦斯·云。
Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi warned of a worsening of the situation.
穆迪首席经济学家马克·赞迪警告说局势将会恶化。
"The U.S. housing market is about to enter a 'deep freeze,' as surging borrowing rates and stubbornly high prices lock out a growing number of buyers," Zandi said, according to Business Insider.
据Business Insider报道,Zandi说:“美国房地产市场即将进入‘深度冻结’,因为飙升的借贷利率和居高不下的价格将越来越多的买家拒之门外。”
The earnings beat by early reporters among the homebuilders should, therefore, be taken with a pinch of salt.
因此,早期记者在房屋建筑商中取得的收益应该持保留态度。
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
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在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
风险及免责提示
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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