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Singapore Airlines (SGX:C6L) investors are sitting on a loss of 22% if they invested five years ago
Singapore Airlines (SGX:C6L) investors are sitting on a loss of 22% if they invested five years ago
The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Singapore Airlines Limited (SGX:C6L) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 49% over a half decade.
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
Check out our latest analysis for Singapore Airlines
Because Singapore Airlines made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
In the last five years Singapore Airlines saw its revenue shrink by 20% per year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. On the face of it we'd posit the share price fall of 8% compound, over five years is well justified by the fundamental deterioration. We doubt many shareholders are delighted with this share price performance. It is possible for businesses to bounce back but as Buffett says, 'turnarounds seldom turn'.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
SGX:C6L Earnings and Revenue Growth August 4th 2022We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Singapore Airlines will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We've already covered Singapore Airlines' share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for Singapore Airlines shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 22%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Singapore Airlines shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 8.4% over one year. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 4% per year over five years. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.
Singapore Airlines is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SG exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
选股的主要目的是寻找跑赢大盘的股票。但主要的游戏是找到足够多的赢家来抵消输家,这样我们就不会责怪长期新加坡航空有限公司(SGX:C6L)股东对他们持有股票的决定表示怀疑,该股在过去五年中下跌了49%。
考虑到这一点,值得关注的是,该公司的潜在基本面是长期业绩的驱动力,还是存在一些差异。
查看我们对新加坡航空公司的最新分析
由于新加坡航空在过去12个月中出现亏损,我们认为市场可能更关注收入和收入增长,至少目前是这样。未盈利公司的股东通常预期营收增长强劲。这是因为,如果一家公司的收入增长微不足道,而且永远不会盈利,那么很难相信它会持续下去。
在过去的五年里,新加坡航空公司的收入每年缩水20%。委婉地说,这让它成了一个没有吸引力的群体。从表面上看,我们假设股价在五年内的复合跌幅为8%,这很好地证明了基本面恶化的合理性。我们怀疑有多少股东对这种股价表现感到满意。企业有可能反弹,但正如巴菲特所说,“扭亏为盈的情况很少出现转机”。
您可以在下图中看到收益和收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看确切的值)。
新交所:C6L收益和收入增长2022年8月4日我们喜欢的是,内部人士在过去12个月一直在买入股票。话虽如此,大多数人认为盈利和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。因此,看看分析师认为新加坡航空未来的收入(免费利润预测)是很有意义的。
那么总股东回报(TSR)呢?
我们已经报道了新加坡航空的股价走势,但我们还应该提到它的总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。股息对新加坡航空的股东来说确实是有益的,这种现金支付解释了为什么过去5年来,新加坡航空22%的股东总损失没有股价回报那么糟糕。
不同的视角
我们很高兴地报告,新加坡航空的股东在一年内获得了8.4%的总股东回报。毫无疑问,最近的回报率远远好于TSR在过去五年中每年4%的损失。我们通常更看重短期的长期表现,但最近的改善可能暗示着业务内部出现(积极的)拐点。内部人士一直在买入股票是好事,但我们建议您查看此处,看看内部人士买入的价格是多少。
新加坡航空并不是业内人士买入的唯一股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费内幕收购的成长型公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在SG交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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