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We Think NIKE (NYSE:NKE) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think NIKE (NYSE:NKE) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for NIKE
How Much Debt Does NIKE Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NIKE had US$9.43b in debt in May 2022; about the same as the year before. But it also has US$13.0b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$3.57b net cash.
NYSE:NKE Debt to Equity History August 3rd 2022How Healthy Is NIKE's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, NIKE had liabilities of US$10.7b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$14.3b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$13.0b in cash and US$4.67b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$7.38b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given NIKE has a humongous market capitalization of US$175.3b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, NIKE boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
But the other side of the story is that NIKE saw its EBIT decline by 7.7% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine NIKE's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. NIKE may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, NIKE recorded free cash flow worth 69% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
We could understand if investors are concerned about NIKE's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$3.57b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$4.4b, being 69% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with NIKE's debt use. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of NIKE's earnings per share history for free.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
伯克希尔哈撒韦的外部基金经理理想汽车·卢直言不讳地说,最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。当你考察一家公司的风险有多大时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为当一家企业倒闭时,债务往往会涉及到它。我们注意到耐克公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:NKE)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否让该公司面临风险。
为什么债务会带来风险?
债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处是,它往往代表着廉价资本,特别是当它用能够以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司的债务用途时,我们首先会把现金和债务放在一起看。
查看我们对耐克的最新分析
耐克背负着多少债务?
下面的图表显示,耐克在2022年5月的债务为94.3亿美元,与前一年大致相同。你可以点击查看更多细节。但它也有130亿美元的现金来抵消,这意味着它有35.7亿美元的净现金。
纽约证券交易所:NKE债转股历史2022年8月3日耐克的资产负债表有多健康?
根据最新报告的资产负债表,耐克有107亿美元的负债在12个月内到期,143亿美元的负债在12个月后到期。作为抵消,它有130亿美元的现金和46.7亿美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和近期应收账款加起来还要多73.8亿美元。
考虑到耐克拥有1753亿美元的庞大市值,很难相信这些债务会构成太大的威胁。但有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东继续监控未来的资产负债表。尽管耐克有值得注意的负债,但它拥有净现金,所以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!
但另一方面,耐克去年的息税前利润下降了7.7%。这种下降,如果持续下去,显然会使债务更难处理。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但最重要的是,未来的收益将决定耐克未来能否保持健康的资产负债表。所以,如果你关注未来,你可以看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。
最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。耐克的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该业务将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的情况仍很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理债务的能力。在最近三年里,耐克录得的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的69%,考虑到自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这一数字接近正常。这种冷酷的现金意味着,它可以在想要的时候减少债务。
总结
如果投资者担心耐克的债务,我们可以理解,但我们可以放心的是,耐克拥有35.7亿美元的净现金。它给我们留下了深刻的印象,自由现金流为44亿美元,占其息税前利润的69%。因此,我们并不担心耐克的债务问题。在大多数其他指标中,我们认为跟踪每股收益的增长速度(如果有的话)是很重要的。如果你也意识到了这一点,那么你就幸运了,因为今天你可以免费查看耐克每股收益历史的互动图表。
总而言之,有时候专注于甚至不需要债务的公司会更容易。读者可以访问净债务为零的成长型股票列表100%免费,现在。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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