David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Want Want China Holdings Limited (HKG:151) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Want Want China Holdings
What Is Want Want China Holdings's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Want Want China Holdings had debt of CN¥6.90b at the end of March 2022, a reduction from CN¥9.83b over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥11.3b in cash, so it actually has CN¥4.39b net cash.
SEHK:151 Debt to Equity History August 1st 2022
How Strong Is Want Want China Holdings' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Want Want China Holdings had liabilities of CN¥9.25b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.90b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥11.3b in cash and CN¥1.38b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥482.0m.
Having regard to Want Want China Holdings' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥65.2b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Want Want China Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
But the other side of the story is that Want Want China Holdings saw its EBIT decline by 2.1% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Want Want China Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Want Want China Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Want Want China Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 85% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Want Want China Holdings has CN¥4.39b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 85% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥3.5b. So is Want Want China Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Want Want China Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
大卫·伊本说得很好,波动性不是我们关心的风险,我们关心的是避免资本的永久性损失。当你考察一家公司的风险有多大时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为当一家企业倒闭时,债务往往会涉及到它。重要的是中国旺旺控股有限公司(HKG:151)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?
什么时候债务是个问题?
一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为一个真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是用自己的现金流。在最糟糕的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人的债务,它可能会破产。尽管这并不常见,但我们确实经常看到负债累累的公司永久性地稀释股东的权益,因为贷款人迫使他们以令人沮丧的价格筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是一家公司对债务管理得相当好--并对自己有利。当我们考虑一家公司的债务用途时,我们首先会把现金和债务放在一起看。
查看我们对中国旺旺控股的最新分析
中国旺旺控股的净负债是多少?
下面的图片,你可以点击查看更多细节,显示中国旺旺控股在2022年3月底的债务为69亿加元,比一年内的98.3亿加元有所减少。然而,其资产负债表显示,它持有人民币113亿元的现金,因此它实际上拥有人民币43.9亿元的净现金。
联交所:151债转股历史2022年8月1日
中国旺旺控股的资产负债表有多强?
放大最新的资产负债表数据可以看到,中国旺旺控股有92.5亿元的负债在12个月内到期,还有39.亿元的负债在12个月内到期。作为抵消,它有113亿加元的现金和13.8亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债比现金和(近期)应收账款之和高出4.82亿元。
考虑到中国旺旺控股的规模,其流动资产与总负债似乎达到了很好的平衡。因此,这家价值652亿元人民币的公司不太可能出现现金短缺的情况,但仍值得关注其资产负债表。尽管中国旺旺控股有值得注意的负债,但它拥有净现金,所以可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
但另一方面,中国旺旺控股去年的息税前利润下降了2.1%。这种下降,如果持续下去,显然会使债务更难处理。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定中国旺旺控股能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润只是不能削减这一点。虽然中国旺旺控股的资产负债表上有净现金,但它将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的能力仍然值得一看,以帮助我们了解它正在以多快的速度建立(或侵蚀)现金余额。在过去三年中,中国旺旺控股产生的自由现金流占其息税前利润的85%,非常强劲,超出了我们的预期。这使它处于有利的地位,如果需要的话,它可以偿还债务。
总结
虽然看一家公司的总负债总是明智之举,但中国旺旺控股拥有43.9亿元人民币的净现金,这让人非常放心。上面的樱桃是In将85%的息税前利润转化为自由现金流,带来了35亿元人民币的收入。那么,中国旺旺控股的债务是一种风险吗?但在我们看来并非如此。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。请注意,中国旺旺控股正在展示在我们的投资分析中出现1个警告信号,你应该知道关于……
归根结底,关注那些没有净债务的公司往往更好。你可以访问我们的这类公司的特别名单(都有利润增长的记录)。这是免费的。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。