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Results: Arrow Financial Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Results: Arrow Financial Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
A week ago, Arrow Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:AROW) came out with a strong set of second-quarter numbers that could potentially lead to a re-rate of the stock. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 3.9% to hit US$37m. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at US$0.75, some 5.6% above whatthe analyst had expected. Following the result, the analyst has updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analyst latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
View our latest analysis for Arrow Financial
NasdaqGS:AROW Earnings and Revenue Growth July 29th 2022Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Arrow Financial from sole analyst is for revenues of US$147.5m in 2022 which, if met, would be a satisfactory 4.2% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$2.98, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analyst had been anticipated revenues of US$145.5m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.93 in 2022. So it's pretty clear that, although the analyst has updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$34.00, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2022 brings more of the same, according to the analyst, with revenue forecast to display 8.5% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 7.7% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 7.6% annually. So although Arrow Financial is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analyst holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to sales forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2023, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
一周前,Arrow金融公司纳斯达克(Sequoia Capital:AROW)公布了一组强劲的第二季度数据,可能会导致该股重新上涨。总体业绩良好,收入超过分析师预测3.9%,达到3700万美元。法定每股收益(EPS)为0.75美元,比分析师预期高出约5.6%。结果公布后,这位分析师更新了他们的收益模型,如果他们认为公司的前景发生了巨大变化,还是一切照旧,那将是一件好事。我们认为,读者会发现,分析师对明年最新的(法定)盈利预测会很有趣。
查看我们对Arrow Financial的最新分析
纳斯达克:AROW收益和收入增长2022年7月29日考虑到最新的业绩,唯一分析师对Arrow Financial的最新共识是,2022年收入将达到1.475亿美元,如果实现这一目标,将比过去12个月的销售额增长4.2%,令人满意。预计每股法定收益为2.98美元,与过去12个月基本一致。然而,在最新财报公布之前,分析师曾预计2022年营收为1.455亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为2.93美元。因此,很明显,尽管分析师更新了他们的估计,但在最新业绩公布后,对该业务的预期并没有发生重大变化。
收入或收益预期没有变化,目标价也没有变化,表明该公司在最近的业绩中达到了预期。
当然,看待这些预测的另一种方式是将它们放在与行业本身相反的背景下。这位分析师表示,截至2022年底的一段时间内,收入将出现更多相同的情况,预计收入将按年率计算增长8.5%。这与中国过去五年7.7%的年增长率一致。相比之下,分析师估计整个行业的收入将以每年7.6%的速度增长。因此,尽管Arrow Financial预计将保持其收入增长速度,但它的增长速度仅与整个行业大致相同。
底线
最明显的结论是,近期该公司的业务前景没有发生重大变化,分析师的收益预测保持不变,与之前的估计一致。幸运的是,销售预测没有真正的变化,业务仍有望与整个行业同步增长。共识目标价没有实际变化,这表明根据最新估计,该业务的内在价值没有发生任何重大变化。
考虑到这一点,我们仍然认为,投资者需要考虑的更长期的业务轨迹要重要得多。至少有一位分析师提供了对2023年的预测,这可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
另一件需要考虑的事情是,管理层和董事最近是否一直在买入或卖出股票。我们在我们的平台上提供了过去12个月所有公开市场股票交易的概述,此处。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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