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While shareholders of China Risun Group (HKG:1907) are in the red over the last year, underlying earnings have actually grown
While shareholders of China Risun Group (HKG:1907) are in the red over the last year, underlying earnings have actually grown
Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. That downside risk was realized by China Risun Group Limited (HKG:1907) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 30%. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 13%. Longer term investors have fared much better, since the share price is up 22% in three years. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 12% in the last three months.
While the last year has been tough for China Risun Group shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
Check out our latest analysis for China Risun Group
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the unfortunate twelve months during which the China Risun Group share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 51%. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.
It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.
China Risun Group's dividend seems healthy to us, so we doubt that the yield is a concern for the market. From what we can see, revenue is pretty flat, so that doesn't really explain the share price drop. Of course, it could simply be that it simply fell short of the market consensus expectations.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
SEHK:1907 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 27th 2022It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for China Risun Group the TSR over the last 1 year was -27%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
The last twelve months weren't great for China Risun Group shares, which performed worse than the market, costing holders 27%, including dividends. The market shed around 13%, no doubt weighing on the stock price. Investors are up over three years, booking 11% per year, much better than the more recent returns. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Risun Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for China Risun Group you should be aware of.
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
投资者可以通过购买指数基金来接近平均市场回报。虽然个别股票可能是大赢家,但更多的股票无法产生令人满意的回报。这种下行风险通过以下方式实现中国日产集团有限公司(HKG:1907)过去一年,随着股价下跌30%,股东人数增加。这明显低于约13%的市场跌幅。长期投资者的表现要好得多,因为该公司股价在三年内上涨了22%。股价最近加速下跌,在过去三个月里下跌了12%。
尽管过去一年对中国日盛集团的股东来说是艰难的一年,但过去一周显示出了希望的迹象。因此,让我们看看较长期的基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动因素。
查看我们对中国日盛集团的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔的超级投资者沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映一家企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以感受到投资者对一家公司的态度随着时间的推移发生了怎样的变化。
在不幸的12个月里,中国日盛集团的股价下跌,实际上它的每股收益(EPS)提高了51%。当然,这种情况可能会暴露出之前对增长的过度乐观。
令人惊讶的是,尽管每股收益有所改善,但股价却下跌了这么多。因此,也有必要检查一下其他一些指标。
中国日盛集团的股息对我们来说似乎是健康的,因此我们怀疑收益率是市场关注的问题。从我们看到的情况来看,营收相当持平,所以这并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。当然,这可能只是因为它根本没有达到市场的普遍预期。
该公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。
联交所:1907年7月27日盈利及收入增长可能值得注意的是,我们在上个季度看到了大量的内幕收购,我们认为这是一个积极的因素。尽管如此,我们认为收益和收入增长趋势是更重要的考虑因素。在买卖股票之前,我们总是建议仔细检查一下历史增长趋势,可在此处找到。
那股息呢?
在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。我们注意到,中国日信集团过去一年的TSR为-27%,好于上面提到的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!
不同的视角
过去12个月对中国日盛集团的股票来说并不好,该股的表现逊于大盘,持股者损失了27%,其中包括股息。股市下跌了约13%,无疑拖累了股价。投资者在三年多的时间里上涨了11%,比最近的回报率好得多。有时候,当一个高质量的长期赢家有一个疲软的时期,它被证明是一个机会,但你真的需要确保质量在那里。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但要更好地了解中国日产集团,我们还需要考虑许多其他因素。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了中国日产集团的2个警示信号你应该意识到。
还有很多其他公司让内部人士买进股票。你很可能会这么做不想怀念这一切吗?免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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