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Shareholders in Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) have lost 64%, as stock drops 4.4% this past week
Shareholders in Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) have lost 64%, as stock drops 4.4% this past week
Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But no-one is immune from buying too high. For example, after five long years the Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) share price is a whole 67% lower. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top.
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
View our latest analysis for Guangshen Railway
Guangshen Railway wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.
In the last half decade, Guangshen Railway saw its revenue increase by 0.9% per year. That's far from impressive given all the money it is losing. It's likely this weak growth has contributed to an annualised return of 11% for the last five years. We want to see an acceleration of revenue growth (or profits) before showing much interest in this one. However, it's possible too many in the market will ignore it, and there may be an opportunity if it starts to recover down the track.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
SEHK:525 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 25th 2022It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. If you are thinking of buying or selling Guangshen Railway stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Guangshen Railway's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Guangshen Railway's TSR, which was a 64% drop over the last 5 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
While it's certainly disappointing to see that Guangshen Railway shares lost 4.4% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 19%. What is more upsetting is the 10% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. This sort of share price action isn't particularly encouraging, but at least the losses are slowing. You might want to assess this data-rich visualization of its earnings, revenue and cash flow.
But note: Guangshen Railway may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
从统计学上讲,长期投资是一项有利可图的事业。但没有人能幸免于过高买入。例如,在漫长的五年之后,广深铁路有限责任公司(HKG:525)股价整体下跌67%。我们当然同情那些在接近顶端时买入的股东。
鉴于过去一周对股东的态度一直很严峻,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。
查看我们对广深铁路的最新分析
广深铁路在过去的12个月里没有盈利,我们不太可能看到它的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间有很强的相关性。可以说,收入是我们的下一个最佳选择。一般来说,没有利润的公司预计每年都会有收入增长,而且增长速度很快。一些公司愿意推迟盈利以更快地增长收入,但在这种情况下,人们确实预计营收会有良好的增长。
在过去的五年里,广深铁路的收入以每年0.9%的速度增长。考虑到它正在亏损的所有资金,这远远谈不上令人印象深刻。这种疲弱的增长很可能是过去五年年化回报率达到11%的原因之一。在对此表现出浓厚兴趣之前,我们希望看到收入增长(或利润)的加速。然而,市场中有太多人可能会忽视它,如果它开始沿着轨道回升,可能会有机会。
该公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。
联交所:525盈利及收入增长2022年7月25日可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。关注首席执行官的薪酬总是值得的,但更重要的问题是,该公司是否会在未来几年实现盈利增长。如果你正在考虑买卖广深铁路的股票,你应该看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。
那么总股东回报(TSR)呢?
投资者应该注意到,广深铁路的总股东回报(TSR)与其股价变化之间存在差异,我们在上面已经谈到了这一点。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。其派息的历史意味着广深铁路的TSR为64%丢弃在过去的5年里,没有股价回报那么糟糕。
不同的视角
尽管看到广深铁路股价全年下跌4.4%肯定令人失望,但这并没有股市下跌19%那么糟糕。更令人沮丧的是,投资者在过去五年里遭受了每年10%的损失。这种股价走势并不特别鼓舞人心,但至少损失正在放缓。你可能想要评估一下它的收益、收入和现金流的这种数据丰富的可视化。
但请注意:广深铁路可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费过去有盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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