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Pacific Textiles Holdings Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Pacific Textiles Holdings Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
The full-year results for Pacific Textiles Holdings Limited (HKG:1382) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. It was not a great result overall. While revenues of HK$6.1b were in line with analyst predictions, earnings were less than expected, missing statutory estimates by 16% to hit HK$0.41 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
See our latest analysis for Pacific Textiles Holdings
SEHK:1382 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 14th 2022Taking into account the latest results, Pacific Textiles Holdings' four analysts currently expect revenues in 2023 to be HK$6.05b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to rise 2.3% to HK$0.41. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of HK$6.09b and earnings per share (EPS) of HK$0.46 in 2023. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a minor downgrade to their earnings per share forecasts.
It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at HK$4.59, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Pacific Textiles Holdings at HK$6.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at HK$2.90. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. One thing that stands out from these estimates is that shrinking revenues are expected to moderate over the period ending 2023 compared to the historical decline of 1.9% per annum over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for companies in the broader industry, which suggest that revenues (in aggregate) are expected to grow 15% annually. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately Pacific Textiles Holdings is expected to see its sales affected worse than other companies in the industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply revenues will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at HK$4.59, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Pacific Textiles Holdings. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Pacific Textiles Holdings going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Pacific Textiles Holdings you should be aware of.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
年度全年业绩太平洋纺织集团有限公司(HKG:1382)上周公布,是重温其表现的好时机。总体而言,这不是一个很好的结果。虽然61亿港元的营收符合分析师的预测,但收益低于预期,比法定预期低16%,达到每股0.41港元。对于投资者来说,这是一个重要的时刻,因为他们可以在公司的报告中跟踪公司的表现,查看专家对明年的预测,以及对业务的预期是否有任何变化。我们认为,读者会发现看到分析师对明年最新(法定)盈利后的预测会很有趣。
查看我们对太平洋纺织控股公司的最新分析
联交所:2022年7月14日盈利及收入增长1382考虑到最新业绩,太平洋纺织控股的四位分析师目前预计2023年收入为60.5亿港元,与过去12个月大致持平。每股盈利料升2.3%至0.41港元。然而,在最新财报公布之前,分析师曾预计2023年营收为60.9亿港元,每股收益(EPS)为0.46港元。因此,在最近的业绩公布后,整体情绪似乎出现了小幅下降--营收预期没有重大变化,但分析师确实小幅下调了每股收益预期。
了解到普遍的目标价大致保持在4.59港元不变,可能会令人惊讶,分析师们明确暗示,盈利预期的下降预计不会对估值产生太大影响。然而,这并不是我们可以从这些数据中得出的唯一结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的价格目标时,也喜欢考虑预期中的价差。目前,最乐观的分析师对太平洋纺织的估值为每股6.00港元,而最悲观的分析师对其估值为2.90港元。这是一个相当广泛的估计价差,表明分析师们预测了该业务可能出现的各种结果。
从现在的大局来看,我们能够理解这些预测的方法之一,是看看它们如何与过去的业绩和行业增长预期相比较。从这些估计中脱颖而出的一件事是,与过去五年每年1.9%的历史降幅相比,预计在截至2023年的一段时间内,收入萎缩的势头将有所缓解。这与分析师对更广泛行业的公司的预期形成了对比,后者认为收入(总体)预计将以每年15%的速度增长。因此,尽管预计将有大量公司增长,但不幸的是,太平洋纺织控股公司的销售受到的影响预计将比行业内其他公司更严重。
底线
最重要的是,分析师们下调了他们的每股收益预期,表明业绩公布后,市场人气明显下降。从积极的一面来看,营收预期没有重大变化;尽管预测意味着营收表现将逊于整个行业。共识目标价持稳于4.59港元,最新预估不足以对其目标价产生影响。
考虑到这一点,我们不会太快得出太平洋纺织控股公司的结论。长期盈利能力比明年的利润重要得多。我们对太平洋纺织控股公司到2025年的发展做出了预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
不过,你应该始终考虑风险。举个例子,我们发现太平洋纺织控股公司的1个警告标志你应该意识到。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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