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Earnings growth of 17% over 1 year hasn't been enough to translate into positive returns for 360 DigiTech (NASDAQ:QFIN) shareholders
Earnings growth of 17% over 1 year hasn't been enough to translate into positive returns for 360 DigiTech (NASDAQ:QFIN) shareholders
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the 360 DigiTech, Inc. (NASDAQ:QFIN) share price up 14% in a single quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 52% in the last year, significantly under-performing the market.
After losing 6.9% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
See our latest analysis for 360 DigiTech
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Even though the 360 DigiTech share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.
The divergence between the EPS and the share price is quite notable, during the year. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.
We don't see any weakness in the 360 DigiTech's dividend so the steady payout can't really explain the share price drop. From what we can see, revenue is pretty flat, so that doesn't really explain the share price drop. Unless, of course, the market was expecting a revenue uptick.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
NasdaqGS:QFIN Earnings and Revenue Growth July 7th 2022We know that 360 DigiTech has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of 360 DigiTech, it has a TSR of -50% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
360 DigiTech shareholders are down 50% for the year (even including dividends), falling short of the market return. Meanwhile, the broader market slid about 17%, likely weighing on the stock. Investors are up over three years, booking 14% per year, much better than the more recent returns. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with 360 DigiTech .
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
虽然这对一些股东来说可能还不够,但我们认为看到360数科公司(纳斯达克:QFIN)股价单季上涨14%.但这并没有改变一个事实,即过去一年的回报一直不那么令人满意。毕竟,该公司股价在过去一年下跌了52%,表现明显逊于大盘。
在过去一周下跌6.9%后,有必要调查一下该公司的基本面,看看我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。
查看我们对360数科的最新分析
本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原话是:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
尽管新浪360数科的股价去年有所下跌,但其每股收益实际上有所改善。当然,这种情况可能会暴露出之前对增长的过度乐观。
在这一年中,每股收益和股价之间的背离相当明显。因此,也有必要检查一下其他一些指标。
我们没有看到360数科的股息有任何疲软,因此稳定的股息并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。从我们看到的情况来看,营收相当持平,所以这并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。当然,除非市场预期收入会上升。
该公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。
NasdaqGS:QFIN收益和收入增长2022年7月7日我们知道360数科在过去三年里提高了利润,但未来会是什么样子呢?也许很值得一看我们的免费报告其财务状况如何随着时间的推移而发生变化。
那股息呢?
在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。TSR包括任何剥离或贴现融资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。以360数科为例,它在过去1年的总资产收益率为-50%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
不同的视角
360数科的股东全年下跌了50%(即使包括股息),没有达到市场回报。与此同时,大盘下跌约17%,可能令该股承压。投资者在过去三年里上涨了14%,比最近的回报率要好得多。有时候,当一个高质量的长期赢家有一个疲软的时期,它被证明是一个机会,但你真的需要确保质量在那里。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。为此,您应该意识到1个警告标志我们发现了360数科。
如果你更愿意看看另一家公司--一家财务状况可能更好的公司--那么不要错过这一点免费已证明自己能够实现盈利增长的公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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