share_log

Investing in China Energy Engineering (HKG:3996) a year ago would have delivered you a 43% gain

Investing in China Energy Engineering (HKG:3996) a year ago would have delivered you a 43% gain

一年前投资中国能源工程(HKG:3996)会给你带来43%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2022/07/05 20:35

Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). For example, the China Energy Engineering Corporation Limited (HKG:3996) share price is up 40% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market decline of around 21% (not including dividends). If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 21% higher than it was three years ago.

被动投资指数基金可以产生与整体市场大致相当的回报。但通过选择比平均水平更好的股票(作为多元化投资组合的一部分),人们可以做得更好。例如,中国能源工程股份有限公司(HKG:3996)股价在过去1年上涨40%,明显超过市场约21%的跌幅(不包括股息)。如果它能够长期保持这种优异的表现,投资者将会做得非常好!较长期的回报就没有那么好了,其股价仅比三年前高出21%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考虑到这一点,值得关注的是,该公司的潜在基本面是长期业绩的驱动力,还是存在一些差异。

Check out our latest analysis for China Energy Engineering

查看我们对中国能源工程的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的企业表现。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During the last year, China Energy Engineering actually saw its earnings per share drop 6.1%.

去年,中国能源工程的每股收益实际下降了6.1%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.

这意味着市场不太可能根据盈利增长来评判该公司。事实上,当每股收益下降而股价上涨时,这通常意味着市场在考虑其他因素。

However the year on year revenue growth of 12% would help. Many businesses do go through a phase where they have to forgo some profits to drive business development, and sometimes its for the best.

然而,12%的同比收入增长将有所帮助。许多企业确实经历了一个阶段,他们不得不放弃一些利润来推动业务发展,有时这是最好的。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到收益和收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看确切的值)。

SEHK:3996 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 6th 2022
联交所:3996盈利及收入增长2022年7月6日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think China Energy Engineering will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。关注首席执行官的薪酬总是值得的,但更重要的问题是,该公司是否会在未来几年实现盈利增长。因此,看看分析师认为中国能源工程未来的收入(免费利润预测)是很有意义的。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, China Energy Engineering's TSR for the last 1 year was 43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。公平地说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。碰巧的是,中国能源工程最近一年的TSR为43%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that China Energy Engineering shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 43% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 2% per year over five years. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Energy Engineering better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for China Energy Engineering (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

我们很高兴地报告,中国能源工程的股东在一年的时间里获得了43%的总股东回报。当然,这包括股息。毫无疑问,最近的回报率远远好于TSR在过去五年中每年2%的损失。长期的亏损让我们保持谨慎,但短期的TSR收益肯定暗示着更光明的未来。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但要更好地理解中国能源工程,我们还需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现中国能源工程的2个警示标志(1不容忽视!)在这里投资之前你应该意识到这一点。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发