share_log

Is Ronglian Group (SZSE:002642) A Risky Investment?

Is Ronglian Group (SZSE:002642) A Risky Investment?

荣联集团(SZSE:002642)是一项高风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/07/04 18:45

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ronglian Group Ltd. (SZSE:002642) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大卫·伊本说得很好,波动性不是我们关心的风险,我们关心的是避免资本的永久性损失。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。我们注意到荣联集团有限公司(SZSE:002642)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否让该公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业发展的一种工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么它就只能听从贷款人的摆布。最终,如果公司不能履行其偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能会一无所有地离开。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处是,它往往代表着廉价资本,特别是当它用能够以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当考虑一家企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的是把现金和债务放在一起看。

See our latest analysis for Ronglian Group

查看我们对荣联集团的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Ronglian Group Carry?

荣联集团背负着多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Ronglian Group had CN¥292.2m of debt, up from CN¥155.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥400.6m in cash, so it actually has CN¥108.4m net cash.

如下所示,截至2022年3月底,荣联集团的债务为2.922亿元人民币,而一年前为1.55亿元人民币。单击图像了解更多详细信息。然而,其资产负债表显示,它持有4.06亿新元现金,因此它实际上拥有1.084亿新元净现金。

SZSE:002642 Debt to Equity History July 4th 2022
深交所:002642债转股历史2022年7月4日

How Strong Is Ronglian Group's Balance Sheet?

荣联集团的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ronglian Group had liabilities of CN¥1.45b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥26.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥400.6m and CN¥1.01b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥65.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据最近一次报告的资产负债表,荣联集团有14.5亿加元的负债在12个月内到期,2640万加元的负债在12个月后到期。另一方面,它还有4.06亿元现金和10.1亿元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,其负债总额为6530万加元,比现金和短期应收账款的总和还要多。

Having regard to Ronglian Group's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥4.03b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Ronglian Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

考虑到荣联集团的规模,其流动资产与总负债似乎达到了很好的平衡。因此,尽管很难想象这家40.3亿元人民币的公司正在为现金而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍然认为值得监控其资产负债表。虽然熔联集团确实有值得注意的负债,但它的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它能够安全地管理债务。

It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Ronglian Group turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥53m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Ronglian Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

同样令人高兴的是,尽管去年息税前利润线出现亏损,但荣联集团在过去12个月里扭亏为盈,交付息税前利润5300万元。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但影响未来资产负债表表现的将是熔联集团的盈利。因此,当考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收益趋势。点击此处查看互动快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Ronglian Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last year, Ronglian Group reported free cash flow worth 12% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。虽然熔联集团的资产负债表上有净现金,但它将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力仍然值得一看,以帮助我们了解它正在以多快的速度建立(或侵蚀)现金余额。去年,荣联集团报告的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的12%,这确实是相当低的。对我们来说,低现金转换引发了一点偏执,那就是偿还债务的能力。

Summing up

总结

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Ronglian Group has CN¥108.4m in net cash. So we don't have any problem with Ronglian Group's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Ronglian Group .

尽管查看一家公司的总负债总是明智的,但让人非常放心的是,荣联集团拥有1.084亿元人民币的净现金。因此,我们对荣联集团的债务使用没有任何问题。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。为此,您应该意识到1个警告标志我们发现了荣联集团。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

总而言之,有时候专注于甚至不需要债务的公司会更容易。读者可以访问净债务为零的成长型股票列表100%免费,现在。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发