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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Chi Ho Development Holdings (HKG:8423)

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Chi Ho Development Holdings (HKG:8423)

疲弱的法定收益可能不能说明致和发展控股(HKG:8423)的全部故事
Simply Wall St ·  2022/07/01 19:15

The subdued market reaction suggests that Chi Ho Development Holdings Limited's (HKG:8423) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

低迷的市场反应表明致和发展控股有限公司(HKG:8423)最近的收益不包含任何意外。我们认为,投资者担心的是盈利背后的一些弱点。

See our latest analysis for Chi Ho Development Holdings

查看我们对致和发展控股的最新分析

SEHK:8423 Earnings and Revenue History July 1st 2022
联交所:8423盈利及收入历史2022年7月1日

Zooming In On Chi Ho Development Holdings' Earnings

放大致和发展控股公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高端金融领域,衡量一家公司将报告利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计制比率从给定期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。虽然应计比率为正并不是问题,这表明非现金利润达到了一定的水平,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明账面利润与现金流不匹配。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

Over the twelve months to March 2022, Chi Ho Development Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.22. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of HK$8.02m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through HK$25m in the last year. We saw that FCF was HK$8.1m a year ago though, so Chi Ho Development Holdings has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

在截至2022年3月的12个月内,致和发展控股录得0.22的应计比率。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流明显低于其法定利润,这很难说是一件好事。尽管该公司报告盈利802万港元,但看看自由现金流就会发现,该公司去年实际上烧掉了2500万港元。然而,我们看到一年前的FCF是810万港元,所以志和发展控股至少在过去能够产生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Chi Ho Development Holdings.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对致和发展控股的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Chi Ho Development Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对致和发展控股公司盈利表现的看法

Chi Ho Development Holdings' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Chi Ho Development Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, Chi Ho Development Holdings has 5 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

致和发展控股过去12个月的应计比率意味着现金转换不太理想,这对我们对其收益的看法是负面的。正因为如此,我们认为可能是致和发展控股的法定利润好于其基础盈利能力。遗憾的是,在过去的12个月里,它的每股收益一直在下降。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解这家公司,除了以上几个因素之外,考虑其他因素也是至关重要的。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,致和发展控股有限公司拥有5个警告标志(和两个潜在的严重问题),我们认为您应该知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Chi Ho Development Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

今天,我们放大了一个数据点,以更好地了解致和发展控股公司的利润性质。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。所以你可能想看看这个免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或内部人士正在购买的这份股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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