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One Archosaur Games Inc. (HKG:9990) Analyst Just Slashed Their Estimates By A Sizeable 59%
One Archosaur Games Inc. (HKG:9990) Analyst Just Slashed Their Estimates By A Sizeable 59%
The analyst covering Archosaur Games Inc. (HKG:9990) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analyst factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.
After the downgrade, the consensus from Archosaur Games' sole analyst is for revenues of CN¥900m in 2022, which would reflect a perceptible 2.3% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Per-share losses are expected to see a sharp uptick, reaching CN¥0.42. Before this latest update, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of CN¥2.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.57 in 2022. So we can see that the consensus has become notably more bearish on Archosaur Games' outlook with these numbers, making a pretty serious reduction to this year's revenue estimates. Furthermore, they expect the business to be loss-making this year, compared to their previous forecasts of a profit.
View our latest analysis for Archosaur Games
SEHK:9990 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 29th 2022The consensus price target fell 19% to CN¥6.61, implicitly signalling that lower earnings per share are a leading indicator for Archosaur Games' valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Archosaur Games analyst has a price target of CN¥8.58 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥6.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Archosaur Games shareholders.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 2.3% by the end of 2022. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 1.5% over the last three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 18% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Archosaur Games is expected to lag the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that the analyst is expecting Archosaur Games to become unprofitable this year. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Archosaur Games.
Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have analyst estimates for Archosaur Games going out as far as 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
The analyst covering Archosaur Games Inc. (HKG:9990) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analyst factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.
分析师涵盖的始龙游戏公司。香港上市公司(HKG:9990)今天对股东今年的法定预测进行了大幅修订,给股东们带来了负面影响。营收和每股收益(EPS)预期均大幅下调,因为分析师将最新的业务前景考虑在内,得出结论认为它们之前过于乐观。
After the downgrade, the consensus from Archosaur Games' sole analyst is for revenues of CN¥900m in 2022, which would reflect a perceptible 2.3% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Per-share losses are expected to see a sharp uptick, reaching CN¥0.42. Before this latest update, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of CN¥2.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.57 in 2022. So we can see that the consensus has become notably more bearish on Archosaur Games' outlook with these numbers, making a pretty serious reduction to this year's revenue estimates. Furthermore, they expect the business to be loss-making this year, compared to their previous forecasts of a profit.
评级下调后,Archosaur Games唯一分析师的共识是,2022年收入将达到9亿元人民币,这将反映出与去年业绩相比,销售额明显下降2.3%。每股亏损预计将大幅上升,达到0.42元。在此次最新更新之前,该分析师一直预测2022年收入为22亿加元,每股收益为0.57元。因此,我们可以看到,随着这些数字的出现,人们对Archosaur Games的前景明显变得更加悲观,这使得今年的收入预期出现了相当严重的下调。此外,他们预计今年的业务将出现亏损,而不是之前预测的盈利。
View our latest analysis for Archosaur Games
查看我们对始祖龙游戏的最新分析
The consensus price target fell 19% to CN¥6.61, implicitly signalling that lower earnings per share are a leading indicator for Archosaur Games' valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Archosaur Games analyst has a price target of CN¥8.58 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥6.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Archosaur Games shareholders.
一致的目标股价下跌19%,至6.61元,暗示每股收益较低是Archosaur Games估值的领先指标。然而,这并不是我们可以从这些数据中得出的唯一结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的价格目标时,也喜欢考虑预期中的价差。最乐观的Archosaur Games分析师的目标价为每股8.58元,而最悲观的分析师认为目标价为6.00元。分析师对这项业务肯定有不同的看法,但在我们看来,估计的差距还不够大,不足以表明极端的结果可能会等待Archosaur Games的股东。
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 2.3% by the end of 2022. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 1.5% over the last three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 18% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Archosaur Games is expected to lag the wider industry.
我们看待这些估计的另一种方式是放在更大的背景下,比如预测与过去的表现如何比较,以及预测相对于行业内的其他公司是更乐观还是更乐观。这些预估意味着销售预计将放缓,预计到2022年底,年化收入将下降2.3%。这表明,与过去三年1.5%的年增长率相比,这一数字大幅下降。相比之下,我们的数据表明,在可预见的未来,同一行业的其他公司(有分析师覆盖)的收入预计将以每年18%的速度增长。因此,尽管其收入预计将缩水,但这片乌云并不会带来一线希望--始祖龙游戏预计将落后于更广泛的行业。
The Bottom Line
底线
The most important thing to take away is that the analyst is expecting Archosaur Games to become unprofitable this year. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Archosaur Games.
最重要的是,这位分析师预计,阿考龙游戏今年将变得无利可图。令人遗憾的是,他们还下调了收入预期,最新预测表明,该业务的销售增长将低于更广泛的市场。随着今年预期的大幅下调和目标价的下降,如果投资者对阿考龙游戏变得谨慎,我们也不会感到惊讶。
Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have analyst estimates for Archosaur Games going out as far as 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
即便如此,企业的长期发展轨迹对股东的价值创造要重要得多。我们有分析师对2024年始祖龙运动会的预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在下调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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