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China Biotech Services Holdings Limited's (HKG:8037) 35% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

China Biotech Services Holdings Limited's (HKG:8037) 35% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

中国生物科技服务控股有限公司(HKG:8037)35%的股价涨幅不太合理
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/28 18:40

The China Biotech Services Holdings Limited (HKG:8037) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 35%. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 9.9% isn't as impressive.

这个中国生物科技服务控股有限公司(HKG:8037)股价在过去一个月表现非常出色,录得35%的出色涨幅。尽管最近股价上涨,但9.9%的年度股价回报率并不令人印象深刻。

After such a large jump in price, China Biotech Services Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

经过如此大的涨幅后,中国生物科技控股有限公司34.7倍的市盈率可能会让它现在看起来像是一个强劲的卖盘。在香港,大约一半的公司的市盈率低于9倍,甚至低于5倍的市盈率也很常见。然而,仅仅从表面上看待市盈率是不明智的,因为可能会有一个解释,为什么它如此之高。

For example, consider that China Biotech Services Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

例如,考虑到中国生物技术服务控股公司最近的财务表现一直不佳,因为它的收益一直在下降。一种可能性是,市盈率很高,因为投资者认为该公司在不久的将来仍将采取足够的措施来跑赢大盘。你真的希望如此,否则你会无缘无故地付出相当大的代价。

Check out our latest analysis for China Biotech Services Holdings

查看我们对中国生物技术服务控股公司的最新分析

SEHK:8037 Price Based on Past Earnings June 28th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
联交所:8037基于过去收益的价格2022年6月28日想要了解公司的收益、收入和现金流的全貌吗?那么我们的
free
免费
report on China Biotech Services Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
中国生物科技服务控股有限公司的报告将帮助你了解其历史表现。

Is There Enough Growth For China Biotech Services Holdings?

中国生物科技服务控股公司有足够的增长吗?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like China Biotech Services Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

有一种固有的假设,即一家公司的市盈率应该远远超过市场,才能被认为是合理的。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.6% decrease to the company's bottom line. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

回顾过去一年,该公司的利润令人沮丧地下降了2.6%。至少,由于早期的增长,每股收益总体上没有从三年前完全倒退。因此,股东们可能不会对不稳定的中期增长率过于满意。

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

与预计未来12个月将实现16%增长的市场相比,根据最近的中期年化收益结果,该公司的增长势头较弱。

With this information, we find it concerning that China Biotech Services Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

有了这些信息,我们发现中国生物技术服务控股公司的市盈率高于市场。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近的情况所显示的要乐观得多,不愿以任何价格抛售他们的股票。如果市盈率下降到与最近的增长率更一致的水平,现有股东很可能会让自己未来感到失望。

What We Can Learn From China Biotech Services Holdings' P/E?

我们可以从中国生物技术服务控股公司的市盈率中学到什么?

China Biotech Services Holdings' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

中国生物技术服务控股公司的市盈率正在飙升,就像它的股票在过去一个月里一样。虽然市盈率不应该是你是否买入一只股票的决定性因素,但它是一个很好的盈利预期晴雨表。

Our examination of China Biotech Services Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我们对中国生物科技控股有限公司的调查显示,该公司三年的盈利趋势对其高市盈率的影响并不像我们预期的那么大,因为它们看起来比目前的市场预期更糟糕。目前,我们对高市盈率越来越感到不安,因为这种盈利表现不太可能长期支撑这种积极情绪。除非最近的中期状况明显改善,否则要接受这些价格是合理的是非常具有挑战性的。

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Biotech Services Holdings that you should be aware of.

别忘了,可能还有其他风险。例如,我们已经确定中国生物科技服务控股有限公司的1个警告标志这一点你应该知道。

If you're unsure about the strength of China Biotech Services Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

如果你.不确定中国生物技术服务控股公司的业务实力,为什么不探索我们的互动名单与坚实的业务基本面为其他一些公司,你可能有不及预期的期望。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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