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Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (HKG:874) A Risky Investment?

Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (HKG:874) A Risky Investment?

广州白云山医药控股(HKG:874)是一项高风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/27 02:49

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited (HKG:874) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的芒格支持的外部基金经理李路直言不讳地说,最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。重要的是广州白云山医药控股有限公司(HKG:874)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务在什么时候是危险的?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为一个真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是用自己的现金流。最终,如果公司不能履行其偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能会一无所有地离开。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东的股份,才能控制债务。然而,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本投资于高回报率增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

See our latest analysis for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings

查看我们对广州白云山医药控股公司的最新分析

What Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's Net Debt?

广州白云山医药控股的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings had debt of CN¥10.7b, up from CN¥10.1b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥23.6b in cash, so it actually has CN¥12.9b net cash.

下图显示,截至2022年3月,广州白云山医药控股有限公司的债务为107亿加元,高于一年内的101亿加元。你可以点击查看更多细节。然而,其资产负债表显示,它持有人民币236亿元的现金,因此它实际上拥有人民币129亿元的净现金。

SEHK:874 Debt to Equity History June 27th 2022
联交所:874债转股历史2022年6月27日

How Strong Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' Balance Sheet?

广州白云山医药控股的资产负债表有多强劲?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings had liabilities of CN¥31.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.64b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥23.6b as well as receivables valued at CN¥19.9b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥9.61b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最新上报的资产负债表,广州白云山医药控股12个月内到期负债312亿元,12个月后到期负债26.4亿元。与这些债务相抵的是,该公司有236亿加元的现金以及价值199亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产比总计负债。

This surplus suggests that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这一盈余表明,广州白云山医药控股有限公司正在以一种似乎既安全又保守的方式使用债务。由于它拥有充足的资产,它不太可能与其贷款人发生麻烦。简而言之,广州白云山医药控股拥有净现金,可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!

And we also note warmly that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings grew its EBIT by 20% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我们也热情地注意到,广州白云山医药控股去年息税前利润增长了20%,使其债务负担更容易处理。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但决定广州白云山医药控股公司未来能否保持健康资产负债表的,最重要的是未来的收益。所以,如果你关注未来,你可以看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 96% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。广州白云山医药控股的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该公司将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的情况仍很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理债务的能力。过去三年,广州白云山医药控股录得相当于其息税前利润96%的自由现金流,这比我们通常预期的要好。这使它处于有利的地位,如果需要的话,它可以偿还债务。

Summing up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has CN¥12.9b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 96% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥3.6b. So we don't think Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

虽然调查一家公司的债务总是明智的,但在这起案件中,广州白云山医药控股拥有人民币129亿元的净现金和看起来不错的资产负债表。上面的樱桃是IN将其中96%的EBIT转换为自由现金流,带来36亿元人民币的收入。因此,我们不认为广州白云山医药控股使用债务是有风险的。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。我们已经确定了1个警告信号与广州白云山医药控股有限公司合作,了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

总而言之,有时候专注于甚至不需要债务的公司会更容易。读者可以访问净债务为零的成长型股票列表100%免费,现在。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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