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News Flash: 4 Analysts Think FriendTimes Inc. (HKG:6820) Earnings Are Under Threat
News Flash: 4 Analysts Think FriendTimes Inc. (HKG:6820) Earnings Are Under Threat
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for FriendTimes Inc. (HKG:6820), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.
After this downgrade, FriendTimes' four analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥2.0b in 2022. This would be a sizeable 25% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to expand 16% to CN¥0.15. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥2.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.24 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about FriendTimes' prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
See our latest analysis for FriendTimes
SEHK:6820 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 26th 2022It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 9.0% to HK$2.43. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic FriendTimes analyst has a price target of HK$3.60 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at HK$1.50. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that FriendTimes' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 25% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2022 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 17% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 18% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that FriendTimes is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of FriendTimes.
Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple FriendTimes analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for FriendTimes Inc. (HKG:6820), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.
最新的分析师报道可能预示着对FriendTimes Inc.(HKG:6820),分析师们全面削减了他们的法定预期,这可能会让股东们有点震惊。营收和每股收益(EPS)预期均大幅下调,因为分析师将最新的业务前景考虑在内,得出结论认为他们之前过于乐观。
After this downgrade, FriendTimes' four analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥2.0b in 2022. This would be a sizeable 25% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to expand 16% to CN¥0.15. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥2.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.24 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about FriendTimes' prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
在这次评级下调之后,FriendTimes的四位分析师现在预测,2022年的收入将达到人民币20亿元。与过去12个月相比,这将是相当大的25%的销售额增长。预计每股收益将增长16%,至0.15加元。在这一最新更新之前,分析师一直预测2022年收入为23亿加元,每股收益为0.24元。事实上,我们可以看到,分析师们对FriendTimes的前景更加悲观,他们大幅下调了收入预期,并大幅下调了每股收益预期。
See our latest analysis for FriendTimes
查看我们对FriendTimes的最新分析
It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 9.0% to HK$2.43. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic FriendTimes analyst has a price target of HK$3.60 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at HK$1.50. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.
得知分析师将目标股价下调9.0%至2.43港元,也就不足为奇了。然而,盯着一个单一的价格目标可能是不明智的,因为共识目标实际上是分析师价格目标的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢看看估值区间,看看对该公司的估值是否存在分歧意见。最乐观的FriendTimes分析师的目标价为每股3.6港元,而最悲观的分析师则认为目标价为1.5港元。注意到分析师目标价之间的巨大差距吗?这对我们来说意味着基础业务有相当广泛的可能场景。
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that FriendTimes' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 25% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2022 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 17% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 18% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that FriendTimes is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
现在看一看更大的图景,我们可以理解这些预测的方法之一是看看它们与过去的业绩和行业增长估计如何比较。从最新的估计中可以清楚地看到,FriendTimes的增长率预计将大幅加快,到2022年底,预计年化收入增长25%,明显快于历史上17%的年增长率。在过去的五年里。相比之下,我们的数据显示,类似行业的其他公司(有分析师覆盖)的收入预计将以每年18%的速度增长。考虑到预期的收入加速增长,很明显FriendTimes的增长速度将远远快于其所在行业。
The Bottom Line
底线
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of FriendTimes.
最重要的是,分析师们下调了每股收益预期,预计商业环境将出现明显下滑。不幸的是,分析师也下调了他们的营收预期,尽管我们的数据表明,营收表现预计将好于大盘。在分析师的情绪发生了如此明显的变化后,如果读者现在对FriendTimes感到有点警惕,我们就会理解了。
Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple FriendTimes analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
尽管如此,该业务的长期前景比明年的收益更具相关性。我们有来自FriendTimes的多位分析师对2024年的预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
搜索有趣的公司的另一种方式可能是到达拐点是跟踪管理层是在买入还是在卖出,我们的免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
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