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Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002741) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002741) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

广东光华科技股份有限公司(深交所股票代码:002741)走强,但基本面似乎好坏参半:该股是否有明确的方向?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/25 02:34

Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's (SZSE:002741) stock is up by a considerable 14% over the past month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's ROE in this article.

广东光华科技(SZSE:002741)的股票在过去一个月里上涨了14%。然而,我们决定关注该公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并未给出该公司财务健康状况的明确迹象。具体地说,我们决定在本文中研究广东光华科技的净资产收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回报率(ROE)是用来评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,它是用来评估一家公司相对于其权益资本的盈利能力。

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech

查看我们对广东光华科技的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

这个净资产收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech is:

因此,根据上述公式,广东光华科技的净资产收益率为:

5.3% = CN¥86m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

5.3%=CN元8600万×CN元16亿元(以截至2022年3月的12个月为基础)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.05.

“回报”就是年度利润。因此,这意味着股东每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.05元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

净资产收益率与盈利增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经证实,净资产收益率是一家公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择再投资或“保留”多少利润,我们就能够评估一家公司未来产生利润的能力。假设其他条件相同,与没有相同特征的公司相比,拥有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常会有更高的增长率。

A Side By Side comparison of Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's Earnings Growth And 5.3% ROE

广东光华科技盈利增长与净资产收益率5.3%的并列比较

When you first look at it, Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's ROE doesn't look that attractive. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 10%. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 18% seen by Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

乍一看,广东光华科技的净资产收益率看起来并不那么诱人。然后,我们将该公司的净资产收益率(ROE)与整个行业进行了比较,发现净资产收益率低于10%的行业平均水平,这让我们感到失望。在这种情况下,广东光华科技在过去五年净收入大幅下降18%也就不足为奇了。然而,也可能有其他因素导致收益下降。例如,可能是企业的资本配置不当,或者公司的派息率非常高。

That being said, we compared Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 19% in the same period.

话虽如此,我们将广东光华科技的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现该公司在同期盈利缩水的同时,该行业的盈利却以19%的速度增长,这让我们感到担忧。

SZSE:002741 Past Earnings Growth June 25th 2022
深圳证交所:过去002741的收益增长2022年6月25日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增长是评估一只股票时需要考虑的一个重要指标。对于投资者来说,重要的是知道市场是否已经消化了公司预期的收益增长(或下降)。这样做将有助于他们确定该股的未来看起来是光明的还是不祥的。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据一只股票的盈利前景决定市场愿意为其支付的价格。因此,你可能想看看广东光华科技相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

广东光华科技有没有用好利润?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 26% (that is, a retention ratio of 74%), the fact that Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管正常的三年派息中值比率为26%(即留存比率为74%),但广东光华科技的盈利缩水令人费解。看起来可能还有其他一些原因来解释这方面的缺乏。例如,这项业务可能正在衰落。

In addition, Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech has been paying dividends over a period of seven years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,广东光华科技七年来一直在派发股息,这表明尽管收益一直在下降,但管理层更倾向于继续派发股息。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 4 risks we have identified for Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech visit our risks dashboard for free.

总体而言,我们觉得广东光华科技的表现可以有多种解读。虽然该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低ROE意味着所有的再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是查看业务的风险概况。要了解我们为广东光华科技确定的4个风险,请免费访问我们的风险仪表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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