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Analysts Just Shaved Their Sinotruk Jinan Truck Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000951) Forecasts Dramatically
Analysts Just Shaved Their Sinotruk Jinan Truck Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000951) Forecasts Dramatically
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Sinotruk Jinan Truck Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000951), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analysts have soured majorly on the business.
After this downgrade, Sinotruk Jinan Truck's three analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥46b in 2022. This would be an okay 6.5% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to leap 63% to CN¥0.78. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥57b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.90 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Sinotruk Jinan Truck's prospects, administering a sizeable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
See our latest analysis for Sinotruk Jinan Truck
SZSE:000951 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 22nd 2022Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the CN¥13.45 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Sinotruk Jinan Truck at CN¥16.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥10.90. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Sinotruk Jinan Truck shareholders.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that Sinotruk Jinan Truck's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 8.7% annualised growth rate until the end of 2022 being well below the historical 14% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 19% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Sinotruk Jinan Truck.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Sinotruk Jinan Truck's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling in light of the downgrade but, with a serious decline expected this year, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were a bit wary of Sinotruk Jinan Truck.
Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Sinotruk Jinan Truck going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Sinotruk Jinan Truck Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000951), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analysts have soured majorly on the business.
最新的分析师报道可能预示着对中国重汽济南卡车有限公司(SZSE:000951),分析师们全面削减了他们的法定预期,这可能会让股东们有点震惊。营收和每股收益(EPS)预期都遭到了下调,这表明分析师们对这项业务的态度已经恶化到了极点。
After this downgrade, Sinotruk Jinan Truck's three analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥46b in 2022. This would be an okay 6.5% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to leap 63% to CN¥0.78. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥57b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.90 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Sinotruk Jinan Truck's prospects, administering a sizeable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
在此次评级下调后,中国重汽济南卡车的三位分析师现在预测,2022年收入将达到46亿元人民币。与过去12个月相比,这将是不错的6.5%的销售额增长。预计法定每股收益将跃升63%,至0.78元人民币。在此次更新之前,分析师一直预测2022年收入为570亿加元,每股收益为0.90加元。事实上,我们可以看到,分析师们对中国重汽济南卡车的前景更为悲观,大幅下调了营收预期,并大幅下调了每股收益预期。
See our latest analysis for Sinotruk Jinan Truck
查看我们对中国重汽济南卡车的最新分析
Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the CN¥13.45 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Sinotruk Jinan Truck at CN¥16.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥10.90. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Sinotruk Jinan Truck shareholders.
尽管下调了预期收益,但人民币13.45元的目标价并没有发生真正的变化,这表明分析师认为这些变化对其内在价值没有重大影响。然而,盯着一个单一的价格目标可能是不明智的,因为共识目标实际上是分析师价格目标的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢看看估值区间,看看对该公司的估值是否存在分歧意见。目前,最乐观的分析师对中国重汽济南卡车的估值为每股16.00元人民币,而最悲观的分析师估值为10.90元人民币。分析师对该业务的看法肯定各不相同,但在我们看来,估计的差距还不够大,不足以表明极端的结果可能等待着中国重汽济南卡车的股东。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that Sinotruk Jinan Truck's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 8.7% annualised growth rate until the end of 2022 being well below the historical 14% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 19% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Sinotruk Jinan Truck.
当然,看待这些预测的另一种方式是将它们放在与行业本身相反的背景下。我们要强调的是,中国重汽济南卡车的收入增长预计将放缓,截至2022年底的预测年化增长率为8.7%,远低于历史上14%的年增长率。过去五年的增长。与该行业的其他公司(与分析师的预测)相比,这些公司的总收入预计将以每年19%的速度增长。因此,很明显,尽管营收增长预计将放缓,但整个行业的增长速度预计也将快于中国重汽济南卡车。
The Bottom Line
底线
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Sinotruk Jinan Truck's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling in light of the downgrade but, with a serious decline expected this year, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were a bit wary of Sinotruk Jinan Truck.
最重要的是,分析师们下调了每股收益预期,预计商业环境将出现明显下滑。不幸的是,分析师也下调了他们的营收预期,行业数据显示,中国重汽济南卡车的营收增速预计将低于整体市场。鉴于评级下调,目标价不变令人费解,但由于预计今年会出现严重下跌,如果投资者对中国重汽济南卡车有点警惕,我们也不会感到意外。
Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Sinotruk Jinan Truck going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
尽管如此,该业务的长期前景比明年的收益更具相关性。在Simply Wall St.,我们有全方位的分析师对中国重汽济南卡车2024年的预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在下调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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