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Optimistic Investors Push Fujian Holdings Limited (HKG:181) Shares Up 30% But Growth Is Lacking

Optimistic Investors Push Fujian Holdings Limited (HKG:181) Shares Up 30% But Growth Is Lacking

乐观的投资者推动福建控股有限公司(HKG:181)股价上涨30%,但增长乏力
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/17 18:28

Fujian Holdings Limited (HKG:181) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in the last month. But not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.

福建控股有限公司(HKG:181)股东的耐心得到了回报,在过去的一个月里,他们的股价上涨了30%。但并不是所有的股东都会感到欢欣鼓舞,因为在过去的12个月里,该公司的股价仍下跌了令人失望的12%。

Following the firm bounce in price, Fujian Holdings may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 48.9x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

随着股价的强劲反弹,福建控股目前可能发出了非常悲观的信号,市盈率为48.9倍,因为几乎一半的香港公司的市盈率低于8倍,即使市盈率低于5倍也并不罕见。然而,市盈率可能相当高是有原因的,需要进一步调查才能确定它是否合理。

Fujian Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

福建控股最近肯定做得很好,因为它一直在以非常快的速度增长收益。似乎很多人都预计,苹果强劲的盈利表现将在未来一段时间内超过大多数其他公司,这增加了投资者买入该股的意愿。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的生存能力感到有点紧张。

Check out our latest analysis for Fujian Holdings

查看我们对福建控股的最新分析

SEHK:181 Price Based on Past Earnings June 17th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Fujian Holdings, take a look at this
联交所:181基于过去收益的价格2022年6月17日虽然没有分析师对福建控股的估计,但看看这个。
free
免费
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
丰富的数据可视化,看看公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何堆积的。

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

增长指标告诉我们关于高市盈率的哪些信息?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Fujian Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

为了证明其市盈率是合理的,福建控股需要实现远远超出市场的出色增长。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 80% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 61% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

回顾过去一年,公司的利润实现了80%的不同寻常的增长。尽管如此,令人难以置信的是,每股收益比三年前总共下降了61%,这相当令人失望。因此,不幸的是,我们不得不承认,在这段时间里,该公司在盈利增长方面做得并不出色。

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

与该公司形成鲜明对比的是,市场其他部分预计明年将增长16%,这确实让人对该公司最近中期收益的下降有了正确的认识。

In light of this, it's alarming that Fujian Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

有鉴于此,福建控股的市盈率高于其他大多数公司,这是令人担忧的。似乎大多数投资者都忽视了最近糟糕的增长率,并希望该公司的业务前景有所好转。如果市盈率下降到与最近负增长更一致的水平,现有股东很有可能会让自己未来感到失望。

The Bottom Line On Fujian Holdings' P/E

福建控股市盈率底线

The strong share price surge has got Fujian Holdings' P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

强劲的股价飙升也推动福建控股的市盈率飙升。我们会说,市盈率的力量主要不是作为一种估值工具,而是衡量当前投资者的情绪和未来预期。

We've established that Fujian Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我们已经确定,福建控股目前的市盈率远高于预期,因为它最近的盈利在中期内一直在下降。目前,我们对高市盈率越来越感到不安,因为这种盈利表现不太可能长期支持这种积极情绪。除非最近的中期状况明显改善,否则要接受这些价格是合理的是非常具有挑战性的。

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Fujian Holdings (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

还有其他风险呢?每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现福建控股的5个警示信号(其中1个让我们有点不舒服!)你应该知道。

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

如果你对市盈率感兴趣,你可能想看看这个免费其他盈利增长强劲、市盈率低于20倍的公司。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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