share_log

Earnings growth of 2.4% over 5 years hasn't been enough to translate into positive returns for Golden Agri-Resources (SGX:E5H) shareholders

Earnings growth of 2.4% over 5 years hasn't been enough to translate into positive returns for Golden Agri-Resources (SGX:E5H) shareholders

过去5年2.4%的收益增长不足以转化为黄金农业资源(SGX:E5H)股东的正回报
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/14 10:18

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Golden Agri-Resources Ltd (SGX:E5H), since the last five years saw the share price fall 24%. On top of that, the share price is down 5.1% in the last week. But this could be related to the soft market, which is down about 2.4% in the same period.

理想情况下,你的整体投资组合应该超过市场平均水平。但在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会喜忧参半。在这一点上,一些股东可能会质疑他们在金色农业资源有限公司(新加坡证券交易所股票代码:E5H),自过去五年股价下跌24%以来。最重要的是,该公司股价在上周下跌了5.1%。但这可能与同期下跌约2.4%的软市有关。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鉴于过去一周对股东的态度一直很严峻,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。

Check out our latest analysis for Golden Agri-Resources

查看我们对黄金农业资源的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用巴菲特的话说,“船只将在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球协会将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异……”考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

While the share price declined over five years, Golden Agri-Resources actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 13% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

虽然股价在五年内下跌,但金色农业资源实际上成功地增加平均每年每股收益增长13%。因此,每股收益似乎并不能很好地指导人们理解市场对股票的估值。也有可能,此前市场非常乐观,因此尽管每股收益有所改善,但该股仍令人失望。

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

由于每股收益增长率和股价增长率之间的鲜明对比,我们倾向于通过其他指标来了解围绕股票不断变化的市场情绪。

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

我们注意到,股息一直保持健康,因此这并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。我们目前还不清楚为什么股价会下跌,但进一步的研究可能会提供一些答案。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。

SGX:E5H Earnings and Revenue Growth June 14th 2022
新交所:2022年6月14日E5H收益和收入增长

We know that Golden Agri-Resources has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Golden Agri-Resources' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

我们知道金色农业资源公司在过去三年中提高了利润,但未来会是什么样子呢?更全面地了解金色农业资源公司的财务状况免费报告其资产负债表。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Golden Agri-Resources, it has a TSR of -12% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。就Golden Agi-Resources而言,它在过去5年的总资产收益率为-12%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that Golden Agri-Resources shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 26% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 2% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Golden Agri-Resources you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.

很高兴看到金色农业资源公司的股东在过去一年中获得了26%的总股东回报。这还包括股息。这当然超过了过去五年每年约2%的损失。我们通常更看重短期的长期表现,但最近的改善可能暗示着业务内部出现(积极的)拐点。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了黄金农业资源的4个警告信号你应该意识到,其中两个可能是严重的。

But note: Golden Agri-Resources may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:黄金农业资源公司可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费过去有盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SG exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在SG交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发