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The three-year decline in earnings for Wangfujing Group SHSE:600859) isn't encouraging, but shareholders are still up 59% over that period

The three-year decline in earnings for Wangfujing Group SHSE:600859) isn't encouraging, but shareholders are still up 59% over that period

王府井集团(上证:600859)连续三年的收益下降并不令人鼓舞,但同期股东仍上涨了59%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/13 23:30

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, Wangfujing Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600859) shareholders have seen the share price rise 52% over three years, well in excess of the market return (31%, not including dividends).

从股市获益的一个简单方法是购买指数基金。但如果你选择了正确的个股,你可以赚得更多。例如,王府井集团有限公司。(上海证券交易所:600859)股东看到股价在三年内上涨了52%,远远超过了市场回报率(31%,不包括股息)。

In light of the stock dropping 3.4% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive three-year return.

鉴于该公司股价在过去一周下跌了3.4%,我们希望调查更长期的情况,看看基本面因素是否是该公司三年来正回报的驱动因素。

View our latest analysis for Wangfujing Group

查看我们对王府井集团的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔的超级投资者沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映一家企业的价值。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During the three years of share price growth, Wangfujing Group actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 5.8% per year.

在股价增长的三年里,王府井集团的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年下降5.8%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

这意味着市场不太可能根据盈利增长来评判该公司。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化没有相关性,因此值得看看其他指标。

Languishing at just 1.7%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 32% per year). The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between Wangfujing Group's share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!

股息仅为1.7%,我们怀疑股息对支撑股价起到了多大作用。你只能想象长期股东对收入下降趋势(每年下滑32%)的感受。唯一明确的是,王府井集团的股价与其历史基本面数据之间的相关性很低。可能还需要进一步的研究!

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收益和收入随时间的变化情况(如果您点击该图,您可以看到更多详细信息)。

SHSE:600859 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 14th 2022
上海证交所:600859收益和收入增长2022年6月14日

We know that Wangfujing Group has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我们知道王府井集团最近提高了底线,但未来会是什么样子?因此,我们建议您查看以下内容免费显示共识预测的报告

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Wangfujing Group, it has a TSR of 59% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。TSR包括任何剥离或贴现融资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。以王府井集团为例,它在过去3年的总资产收益率为59%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We regret to report that Wangfujing Group shareholders are down 23% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 11%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 9% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Wangfujing Group you should be aware of.

我们遗憾地报告,王府井集团股东今年以来下降了23%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比大盘11%的跌幅还要糟糕。然而,这可能只是因为股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。也许有必要关注基本面,以防出现良机。好的一面是,长期股东已经赚到了钱,过去五年的年回报率为9%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据,以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了王府井集团的2个警示标志你应该意识到。

We will like Wangfujing Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大的内部收购,我们会更喜欢王府井集团。在我们等待的时候,看看这个免费最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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