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Don't Buy China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

Don't Buy China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

不做这些检查,不要购买中国铁路信号通信股份有限公司(HKG:3969)的下一次股息
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/11 20:40

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) is about to go ex-dividend in just two days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Thus, you can purchase China Railway Signal & Communication's shares before the 15th of June in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 15th of July.

一些投资者依靠股息来增加他们的财富,如果你是股息侦探中的一员,你可能会感兴趣地知道中国铁路信号通信股份有限公司(HKG:3969)即将在短短两天内除息。通常,除息日期是记录日期之前的一个工作日,记录日期是公司确定有资格获得股息的股东的日期。除息日期很重要,因为结算过程需要整整两个工作日。因此,如果你错过了那个日期的预期,你就不会在记录日期出现在公司的账簿上。因此,您可以在6月15日之前购买中国铁路信号通信公司的股票,以获得公司将于7月15日支付的股息。

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.17 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed CN¥0.17 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, China Railway Signal & Communication stock has a trailing yield of around 7.1% on the current share price of HK$2.8. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

公司下一次派息为每股0.17元人民币。去年,该公司总共向股东分配了0.17元人民币。根据过去一年的支付金额,中国铁路信号通信股份有限公司股票的往绩收益率约为7.1%,目前股价为2.8港元。股息是长期持有者投资回报的主要贡献者,但前提是继续支付股息。我们需要看看股息是否由收益覆盖,以及是否在增长。

View our latest analysis for China Railway Signal & Communication

查看我们对中国铁路信号通信的最新分析

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. China Railway Signal & Communication paid out more than half (57%) of its earnings last year, which is a regular payout ratio for most companies. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether China Railway Signal & Communication generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. The company paid out 96% of its free cash flow over the last year, which we think is outside the ideal range for most businesses. Cash flows are usually much more volatile than earnings, so this could be a temporary effect - but we'd generally want to look more closely here.

股息通常从公司利润中支付,因此,如果一家公司支付的股息超过了它的收入,那么它的股息通常被削减的风险更大。中国铁路信号通信去年支付了超过一半(57%)的收益,这是大多数公司的常规派息比率。一个有用的次要检查可以是评估中国铁路信号通信公司是否产生了足够的自由现金流来支付股息。该公司去年支付了96%的自由现金流,我们认为这超出了大多数企业的理想范围。现金流的波动性通常比收益大得多,因此这可能是暂时的影响--但我们通常希望更仔细地研究一下。

While China Railway Signal & Communication's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to China Railway Signal & Communication's ability to maintain its dividend.

虽然中国铁路信号通信公司的股息是由该公司公布的利润支付的,但现金在某种程度上更重要,所以看到该公司没有产生足够的现金来支付股息并不是一件好事。如果这种情况再次发生,这将对中国铁路信号通信公司维持股息的能力构成风险。

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

点击此处查看该公司的派息率,以及分析师对其未来股息的估计。

SEHK:3969 Historic Dividend June 12th 2022
联交所:3969历史股息2022年6月12日

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

盈利和股息一直在增长吗?

Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. With that in mind, we're not enthused to see that China Railway Signal & Communication's earnings per share have remained effectively flat over the past five years. Better than seeing them fall off a cliff, for sure, but the best dividend stocks grow their earnings meaningfully over the long run.

盈利没有增长的公司仍然有价值,但如果公司看起来将难以增长,评估股息的可持续性就更重要了。如果业务进入低迷,股息被削减,该公司的价值可能会急剧缩水。考虑到这一点,我们并不热衷于看到中国铁路信号通信公司的每股收益在过去五年里实际上持平。当然,这总比眼睁睁看着它们掉下悬崖要好,但从长远来看,最好的股息股票会有意义地增长收益。

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. In the past six years, China Railway Signal & Communication has increased its dividend at approximately 38% a year on average.

衡量一家公司股息前景的另一个关键方法是衡量其历史股息增长率。在过去的六年里,中国铁路信号通信公司的股息平均每年增加38%左右。

To Sum It Up

总结一下

Is China Railway Signal & Communication worth buying for its dividend? It's not great to see earnings per share have been flat and that the company paid out an uncomfortably high percentage of its cash flow over the past year. Cash flows are typically more volatile than earnings, but this is still not what we like to see. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of China Railway Signal & Communication.

中国铁路信号通信公司值得为其分红吗?看到每股收益持平,而该公司在过去一年支付的现金流比例高得令人不安,这并不是一件好事。现金流的波动性通常比收益更大,但这仍不是我们希望看到的。从分红的角度来看,事情正在发展,我们倾向于避开中国铁路信号通信公司。

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with China Railway Signal & Communication. For example, we've found 1 warning sign for China Railway Signal & Communication that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

话虽如此,如果你看这只股票时并不太关心股息,你应该仍然熟悉中国铁路信号通信所涉及的风险。例如,我们发现中国铁路信号通信1个警示标志我们建议您在投资业务之前考虑这些问题。

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

一个常见的投资错误是购买你看到的第一只有趣的股票。在这里你可以找到高收益股息股的完整名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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