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Johnson Electric Holdings Limited's (HKG:179) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Johnson Electric Holdings Limited's (HKG:179) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

强生电器控股有限公司(HKG:179)26%的股价涨幅不太合理
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/11 20:25

Those holding Johnson Electric Holdings Limited (HKG:179) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the last month did very little to improve the 52% share price decline over the last year.

持有者强生电器控股有限公司(HKG:179)股价在过去30天里反弹了26%,股价会松一口气,但它需要继续努力修复最近对投资者投资组合造成的损害。但上个月对改善股价去年52%的跌幅几乎没有起到什么作用。

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Johnson Electric Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

尽管股价强劲反弹,但可以毫不夸张地说,与香港股市相比,香港市场目前8.1倍的市盈率(或“市盈率”)似乎相当“中等”,香港股市的市盈率中值约为9倍。然而,如果市盈率没有理性基础,投资者可能会忽视一个明显的机会或潜在的挫折。

Johnson Electric Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

约翰逊电气控股公司最近的业绩表现不佳,因为其不断下降的收益比其他公司差,其他公司的平均利润也出现了一些增长。一种可能性是,市盈率是温和的,因为投资者认为这种糟糕的收益表现将会好转。你真的希望如此,否则你为一家拥有这种增长特征的公司支付的价格相对较高。

See our latest analysis for Johnson Electric Holdings

查看我们对强生电气控股公司的最新分析

SEHK:179 Price Based on Past Earnings June 12th 2022 Keen to find out how analysts think Johnson Electric Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our
联交所:179基于过去收益的价格2022年6月12日渴望了解分析师如何看待强生电气控股公司的未来与行业的竞争?那样的话,我们的
free
免费
report is a great place to start.
报告是一个很好的起点。

Is There Some Growth For Johnson Electric Holdings?

强生电气控股公司是否有一些增长?

Johnson Electric Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

对于一家预计只会实现适度增长,而且重要的是表现与市场一致的公司来说,约翰逊电气控股公司的市盈率将是典型的。

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 31%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 50% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

如果我们回顾去年的收益,令人沮丧的是,该公司的利润下降了31%。因此,三年前的整体收益也下降了50%。因此,不幸的是,我们不得不承认,在这段时间里,该公司在盈利增长方面做得并不出色。

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twin analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 3.2% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

展望未来,追踪该公司的两位分析师的估计显示,未来三年,该公司的收益将以每年3.2%的速度增长。与此同时,其他市场预计将以每年15%的速度增长,这显然更具吸引力。

With this information, we find it interesting that Johnson Electric Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

有了这些信息,我们发现很有趣的是,强生电气控股公司的市盈率与市场相当相似。显然,该公司的许多投资者并不像分析师所说的那样悲观,他们现在不愿抛售自己的股票。维持这些价格将很难实现,因为这种水平的收益增长最终可能会拖累股价。

What We Can Learn From Johnson Electric Holdings' P/E?

我们可以从约翰逊电气控股的市盈率中学到什么?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Johnson Electric Holdings' P/E is also back up to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

其股价大幅上涨,现在约翰逊电气控股公司的市盈率也回到了市场中值。有人认为,市盈率是衡量某些行业价值的次要指标,但它可以成为一个强大的商业信心指标。

Our examination of Johnson Electric Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我们对约翰逊电气控股公司分析师预测的研究显示,其糟糕的盈利前景对其市盈率的影响并不像我们预测的那样大。目前,我们对市盈率感到不安,因为预测的未来收益不太可能长期支持更积极的情绪。除非这些条件得到改善,否则很难接受这些价格是合理的。

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Johnson Electric Holdings you should be aware of.

你应该时刻考虑风险。举个例子,我们发现约翰逊电气控股公司的3个警告信号你应该意识到。

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Johnson Electric Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

如果这些风险让你重新考虑对强生电气控股公司的看法,探索我们的高质量股票互动列表,以了解还有什么。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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