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What Wine's Link International Holdings Limited's (HKG:8509) 50% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

What Wine's Link International Holdings Limited's (HKG:8509) 50% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Wine‘s Link International Holdings Limited(HKG:8509)50%的股价涨幅没有告诉你什么
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/10 19:07

Wine's Link International Holdings Limited (HKG:8509) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 50% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 42% over that time.

Wine‘s Link国际控股有限公司(HKG:8509)股东将兴奋地看到,股价在一个月内表现出色,上涨了50%,并从之前的疲软中恢复过来。不幸的是,上个月的收益几乎没有弥补去年的损失,在此期间,该股仍下跌了42%。

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Wine's Link International Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

尽管股价强劲反弹,但当香港股市的市盈率中值约为9倍时,仍不会有很多人认为Wine‘s Link International Holdings 8.1倍的市盈率(P/E)值得一提。然而,如果市盈率没有理性基础,投资者可能会忽视一个明显的机会或潜在的挫折。

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Wine's Link International Holdings has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

由于最近收益增长异常强劲,Wine的Link International Holdings一直表现良好。许多人可能预计强劲的盈利表现将会减弱,这阻止了市盈率的上升。如果你喜欢这家公司,你会希望情况并非如此,这样你就可以在它不太受欢迎的时候买入一些股票。

Check out our latest analysis for Wine's Link International Holdings

查看我们对Wine‘s Link International Holdings的最新分析

SEHK:8509 Price Based on Past Earnings June 10th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Wine's Link International Holdings, take a look at this
联交所:8509价格基于过去收益2022年6月10日尽管没有分析师对Wine‘s Link International Holdings的估计,但请看一下这一点
free
免费
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
丰富的数据可视化,看看公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何堆积的。

How Is Wine's Link International Holdings' Growth Trending?

Wine‘s Link International Holdings的增长趋势如何?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Wine's Link International Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

为了证明其市盈率是合理的,Wine的Link International Holdings需要实现与市场类似的增长。

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 39%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 26% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

如果我们回顾一下去年的收益增长,该公司公布了39%的惊人增长。尽管如此,令人难以置信的是,每股收益比三年前总共下降了26%,这相当令人失望。因此,公平地说,最近的收益增长对公司来说是不可取的。

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.

将这一中期收益轨迹与大盘一年增长17%的预期进行比较,可以看出这是一个令人不快的前景。

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Wine's Link International Holdings' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

有鉴于此,Wine的Link International Holdings的市盈率与大多数其他公司的市盈率持平,这有点令人担忧。似乎大多数投资者都忽视了最近糟糕的增长率,并希望该公司的业务前景有所好转。只有最大胆的人才会认为这些价格是可持续的,因为最近盈利趋势的延续最终可能会拖累股价。

The Bottom Line On Wine's Link International Holdings' P/E

Wine‘s Link International Holdings的市盈率底线

Wine's Link International Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

葡萄酒的领汇国际控股公司(Link International Holdings)似乎再次受到青睐,股价稳步上涨,使其市盈率恢复到与大多数其他公司的水平。一般来说,我们倾向于限制市盈率的使用,以确定市场对公司整体健康状况的看法。

We've established that Wine's Link International Holdings currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我们已经确定,Wine的Link International Holdings目前的市盈率高于预期,因为它最近的收益在中期内一直在下降。当我们看到盈利出现倒退,表现逊于市场预期时,我们怀疑股价有下跌的风险,导致温和的市盈率走低。除非最近的中期状况有所改善,否则很难接受这些价格是合理的。

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Wine's Link International Holdings that we have uncovered.

在您采取下一步之前,您应该了解Wine‘s Link International Holdings的2个警告标志我们已经发现了。

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

重要的是确保你寻找的是一家伟大的公司,而不仅仅是你遇到的第一个想法。所以让我们来看看这个免费近期盈利增长强劲(市盈率低于20倍)的有趣公司名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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