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Is China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (HKG:308) Using Too Much Debt?

Is China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (HKG:308) Using Too Much Debt?

中旅国际投资香港(HKG:308)是否举债过多?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/06 19:52

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited (HKG:308) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

马克斯说得很好,他不是担心股价波动,而是我担心的是永久亏损的可能性……我认识的每个实际投资者都担心。当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们注意到中旅国际投资香港有限公司(HKG:308)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否让该公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。在最糟糕的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人的债务,它可能会破产。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。然而,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本投资于高回报率增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。当考虑一家企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的是把现金和债务放在一起看。

See our latest analysis for China Travel International Investment Hong Kong

请参阅我们对中旅国际投资香港的最新分析

What Is China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's Debt?

中旅国际投资香港的债务是什么?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 China Travel International Investment Hong Kong had debt of HK$1.09b, up from HK$660.8m in one year. However, it does have HK$3.57b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of HK$2.48b.

下图显示,截至2021年12月,中旅国际投资香港的债务为10.9亿港元,高于一年内的6.608亿港元。然而,它确实有35.7亿港元的现金来抵消这一点,导致净现金24.8亿港元。

SEHK:308 Debt to Equity History June 6th 2022
联交所:308债转股历史2022年6月6日

A Look At China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's Liabilities

中旅国际投资香港负债一瞥

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Travel International Investment Hong Kong had liabilities of HK$4.87b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$1.82b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$3.57b as well as receivables valued at HK$629.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$2.49b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

从最近的资产负债表我们可以看到,中旅国际投资香港有48.7亿港元的负债在一年内到期,而18.2亿港元的负债在这之后到期。该公司有35.7亿港元的现金和6.292亿港元的应收账款在12个月内到期,以抵消这些债务。因此,该公司的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和高出24.9亿港元。

This deficit isn't so bad because China Travel International Investment Hong Kong is worth HK$8.53b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Travel International Investment Hong Kong can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

这一赤字并不是那么糟糕,因为中旅国际投资香港的价值为85.3亿港元,因此如果需要的话,可能会筹集到足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表。但我们肯定希望密切关注其债务带来太大风险的迹象。尽管中旅国际投资香港确实有值得注意的债务,但它的现金也多于债务,因此我们相当有信心它能够安全地管理其债务。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定国旅国际投资香港能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。所以,如果你关注未来,你可以看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。

Over 12 months, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong reported revenue of HK$3.6b, which is a gain of 85%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

过去12个月,国旅国际投资香港公布的收入为36亿港元,增长85%,尽管该公司没有公布任何息税前利润。如果运气好的话,该公司将能够以增长的方式实现盈利。

So How Risky Is China Travel International Investment Hong Kong?

那么,中旅国际投资香港的风险有多大?

Although China Travel International Investment Hong Kong had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of HK$174m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. The good news for China Travel International Investment Hong Kong shareholders is that its revenue growth is strong, making it easier to raise capital if need be. But we still think it's somewhat risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for China Travel International Investment Hong Kong you should know about.

尽管中旅国际投资香港在过去12个月出现息税前盈利(EBIT)亏损,但其法定利润为1.74亿港元。因此,从表面上看,考虑到现金,我们认为短期内风险不是很大。对中旅国际投资香港的股东来说,好消息是其收入增长强劲,如果需要的话,融资变得更容易。但我们仍然认为这有一定的风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现1中旅国际投资香港警示标志你应该知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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