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Strong week for Lai Sun Development (HKG:488) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of three-year loss

Strong week for Lai Sun Development (HKG:488) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of three-year loss

礼新发展(HKG:488)股东本周表现强劲并未缓解三年亏损的痛苦
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/06 19:27

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Lai Sun Development Company Limited (HKG:488) share price has gained 25% in the last three months. Meanwhile over the last three years the stock has dropped hard. Regrettably, the share price slid 63% in that period. So the improvement may be a real relief to some. While many would remain nervous, there could be further gains if the business can put its best foot forward.

虽然这不是一个令人兴奋的举动,但很高兴看到丽新发展有限公司(HKG:488)股价在过去三个月中上涨了25%。与此同时,在过去的几年里多年来,该股大幅下跌。令人遗憾的是,该公司股价在此期间下滑了63%。因此,这种改善可能会让一些人真正松一口气。尽管许多人仍会感到紧张,但如果该业务能够迈出最好的一步,可能会有进一步的收益。

The recent uptick of 15% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a lot at historical fundamentals.

最近15%的涨幅可能是未来事情的积极迹象,所以让我们来看看历史基本面。

See our latest analysis for Lai Sun Development

查看我们对丽新发展的最新分析

Lai Sun Development wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

来新发展在过去12个月中没有盈利,我们不太可能看到它的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间有很强的相关性。可以说,收入是我们的下一个最佳选择。一般来说,没有利润的公司预计每年都会有收入增长,而且增长速度很快。这是因为,如果一家公司的收入增长微不足道,而且永远不会盈利,那么很难相信它会持续下去。

Over three years, Lai Sun Development grew revenue at 2.5% per year. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. This uninspiring revenue growth has no doubt helped send the share price lower; it dropped 18% during the period. It can be well worth keeping an eye on growth stocks that disappoint the market, because sometimes they re-accelerate. After all, growing a business isn't easy, and the process will not always be smooth.

在三年的时间里,丽新发展的收入以每年2.5%的速度增长。考虑到它没有盈利,这并不是一个很高的增长率。这种乏善可陈的营收增长无疑是导致该公司股价下跌的原因之一;在此期间,该公司股价下跌了18%。关注令市场失望的成长型股票是非常值得的,因为有时它们会重新加速。毕竟,发展一家企业并不容易,这个过程也不会总是一帆风顺。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片可以发现确切的价值)。

SEHK:488 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 6th 2022
联交所:488盈利及收入增长2022年6月6日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Lai Sun Development

我们认为,内部人士在过去一年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。话虽如此,大多数人认为盈利和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。这免费显示分析师预测的报告应有助于您形成对丽新发展的看法

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那么总股东回报(TSR)呢?

We've already covered Lai Sun Development's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Lai Sun Development's TSR, which was a 57% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.

我们已经报道了来新发展的股价走势,但我们还应该提到它的总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。其派息历史意味着利新发展的TSR为57%丢弃在过去的3年里,没有股价回报那么糟糕。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Although it hurts that Lai Sun Development returned a loss of 19% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 21%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Lai Sun Development has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

虽然来新发展在过去12个月内回报亏损19%,令人痛心,但大市其实更差,回报亏损21%。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年9%的年化损失更糟糕。虽然罗斯柴尔德男爵确实会告诉投资者“在街上有血的时候买入,即使血是你自己的”,但买家需要仔细检查数据,才能确信业务本身是稳健的。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。以风险为例-来新发展拥有2个警告标志我们认为你应该意识到。

Lai Sun Development is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

来新发展并不是内部人士买入的唯一一只股票。对于那些想要找到赢得投资免费最近有内幕收购的不断增长的公司名单可能就是合适的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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