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Jintai Energy Holdings' (HKG:2728) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Jintai Energy Holdings' (HKG:2728) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

金泰能源控股(HKG:2728)盈利低迷可能只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/03 18:45

A lackluster earnings announcement from Jintai Energy Holdings Limited (HKG:2728) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

一份平淡无奇的财报金泰能源控股有限公司(HKG:2728)上周股价并未下跌。然而,我们认为投资者应该意识到一些可能令人担忧的潜在因素。

Check out our latest analysis for Jintai Energy Holdings

查看我们对金泰能源控股的最新分析

SEHK:2728 Earnings and Revenue History June 3rd 2022
联交所:2728盈利及收入历史2022年6月3日

Zooming In On Jintai Energy Holdings' Earnings

放大金泰能源控股公司的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融书呆子们已经知道的那样,现金流应计比率是评估一家公司的自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,在应计比率相当高的地方。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计制比率往往会导致较低的利润或较低的利润增长。

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Jintai Energy Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.41. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$101m despite its profit of HK$94.3m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Jintai Energy Holdings generated positive FCF of HK$304m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2021年12月的12个月内,金泰能源控股录得0.41的应计比率。一般来说,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个不好的预兆。换句话说,该公司在那段时间没有产生一分钱的自由现金流。在过去的12个月里,它实际上有负面自由现金流,尽管其盈利为9,430万港元,但仍有1.01亿港元的流出。值得注意的是,金泰能源控股一年前产生了3.04亿港元的正FCF,所以至少他们过去做到了。话虽如此,故事中还有更多的东西。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jintai Energy Holdings.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对金泰能源控股的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

异常项目对利润的影响

Unfortunately (in the short term) Jintai Energy Holdings saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth HK$64m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Jintai Energy Holdings to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

不幸的是(在短期内),金泰能源控股的利润减少了价值6400万港元的不寻常项目。如果这是一项非现金费用,如果现金流保持强劲,它会使应计比率更好,所以与一个没有激励作用的应计比率结合在一起并不是很好。看到不寻常的项目让公司损失利润从来都不是件好事,但从好的方面来看,情况可能很快就会改善。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大的不寻常项目往往不会重复。考虑到这些项目被认为是不寻常的,这并不令人惊讶。假设这些不寻常的支出不会再次出现,我们因此预计,在其他条件不变的情况下,金泰能源控股明年将产生更高的利润。

Our Take On Jintai Energy Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对金泰能源控股公司利润表现的看法

Jintai Energy Holdings saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Jintai Energy Holdings' statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. If you'd like to know more about Jintai Energy Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To help with this, we've discovered 5 warning signs (2 can't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Jintai Energy Holdings.

金泰能源控股的利润受到不寻常项目的拖累,根据其应计制比率,这本应更容易显示出高现金转换率,但它并没有这么做。基于这些因素,我们认为金泰能源控股的法定利润不太可能让它看起来比实际情况弱得多。如果你想更多地了解金泰能源控股作为一家企业,了解它面临的任何风险是很重要的。为了帮助解决这个问题,我们发现5个警告标志(2不可忽视!)在购买金泰能源控股的任何股票之前,你应该意识到这一点。

Our examination of Jintai Energy Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对金泰能源控股的审查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可能会让金泰能源的收益看起来比实际情况更好。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。所以你可能想看看这个免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或内部人士正在购买的这份股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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