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Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301057) 38% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301057) 38% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

浙江汇龙新材料股份有限公司(SZSE:301057)38%股价涨幅不大
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/27 19:06

Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301057) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 38% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

浙江汇龙新材料有限公司。(SZSE:301057)股东们将会兴奋地看到,股价在一个月里表现出色,上涨了38%,并从之前的疲软中恢复过来。虽然最近的买家可能会笑,但长期持有者可能不会那么高兴,因为最近的上涨只是让股价回到了一年前的水平。

Following the firm bounce in price, Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.5x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 30x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

随着股价的强劲反弹,浙江汇龙新材料股份有限公司36.5倍的市盈率可能会让它看起来像是卖出,而在中国,大约一半的公司的市盈率低于30倍,甚至市盈率低于18倍的情况也很常见。尽管如此,我们还需要更深入地挖掘,以确定市盈率上升是否有合理的基础。

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

举个例子,浙江汇龙新材料有限公司过去一年的收入一直在恶化,这根本不是理想的情况。一种可能性是,市盈率很高,因为投资者认为该公司在不久的将来仍将采取足够的措施来跑赢大盘。你真的希望如此,否则你会无缘无故地付出相当大的代价。

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd

查看我们对浙江汇龙新材料有限公司的最新分析

SZSE:301057 Price Based on Past Earnings May 27th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
SZSE:301057基于过去收益的价格2022年5月27日想要了解公司的收益、收入和现金流的全貌吗?那么我们的
free
免费
report on Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
浙江汇龙新材料有限公司的报道将帮助您了解其历史业绩。

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

增长指标告诉我们关于高市盈率的哪些信息?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's to be considered reasonable.

有一种固有的假设,即一家公司的市盈率应该超过市场,就像浙江汇龙新材料有限公司的市盈率被认为是合理的。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 20% decrease to the company's bottom line. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 24% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

回顾过去一年,该公司的利润令人沮丧地下降了20%。无论如何,得益于早期的增长,每股收益比三年前总共提高了24%。因此,我们可以从确认该公司在这段时间内总体上在收益增长方面做得很好开始,尽管在此过程中出现了一些小问题。

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

与预计未来12个月将实现38%增长的市场相比,根据最近的中期年化收益结果,该公司的增长势头较弱。

In light of this, it's alarming that Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

有鉴于此,令人担忧的是,浙江汇龙新材料有限公司的市盈率超过了大多数其他公司。似乎大多数投资者忽视了最近相当有限的增长率,并希望该公司的业务前景有所好转。如果市盈率下降到与最近的增长率更一致的水平,现有股东很可能会让自己未来感到失望。

The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's P/E

浙江汇龙新材料股份有限公司市盈率的底线

The large bounce in Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

浙江汇龙新材料股份有限公司股价的大幅反弹将该公司的市盈率提升到了相当高的水平。我们会说,市盈率的力量主要不是作为一种估值工具,而是衡量当前投资者的情绪和未来预期。

Our examination of Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我们对浙江汇龙新材料有限公司的调查显示,该公司三年的盈利趋势对其高市盈率的影响并不像我们预期的那么大,因为它们看起来比目前的市场预期更糟糕。当我们看到盈利疲软、增长慢于市场增长时,我们怀疑股价有下跌的风险,导致高市盈率下降。除非最近的中期状况明显改善,否则要接受这些价格是合理的是非常具有挑战性的。

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

你应该时刻考虑风险。举个例子,我们发现浙江汇龙新材料有限公司的3个警示标志你应该意识到,其中1个是重要的。

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

当然了,你也许还能找到比浙江汇龙新材料股份有限公司更好的库存。所以你可能想看看这个免费市盈率低于20倍、盈利增长强劲的其他公司的集合。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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