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Here's Why Changgao Electric Group (SZSE:002452) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Changgao Electric Group (SZSE:002452) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

这就是为什么长高电气集团(深交所:002452)能够负责任地管理债务
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/25 19:56

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Changgao Electric Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002452) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李路曾说,最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。与许多其他公司一样昌高电气集团有限公司。(SZSE:002452)利用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务在什么时候是危险的?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,一种更常见(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,许多公司利用债务为增长提供资金,没有任何负面后果。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

View our latest analysis for Changgao Electric Group

查看我们对长高电气集团的最新分析

What Is Changgao Electric Group's Debt?

长高电气集团的债务是什么?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Changgao Electric Group had debt of CN¥86.3m at the end of March 2022, a reduction from CN¥837.8m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥653.3m in cash, so it actually has CN¥567.0m net cash.

下图显示,截至2022年3月底,长高电气集团的债务为8630万加元,低于一年来的8.378亿加元。你可以点击下面的图片查看更多细节。然而,其资产负债表显示,它持有6.533亿加元现金,因此它实际上拥有5.67亿加元净现金。

SZSE:002452 Debt to Equity History May 25th 2022
深圳证交所:002452债转股历史2022年5月25日

A Look At Changgao Electric Group's Liabilities

看长高电气集团的负债情况

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Changgao Electric Group had liabilities of CN¥830.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥220.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥653.3m and CN¥1.22b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥820.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

从最近的资产负债表可以看出,长高电气集团有8.305亿元的负债在一年内到期,还有2.201亿元的负债在一年内到期。另一方面,它有6.533亿加元的现金和12.2亿加元的应收账款在一年内到期。所以它实际上有8.202亿元人民币更多流动资产超过总负债。

It's good to see that Changgao Electric Group has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Changgao Electric Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

很高兴看到长高电气集团的资产负债表上有充足的流动性,这意味着对负债的保守管理。由于它拥有充足的资产,它不太可能与其贷款人发生麻烦。简而言之,长高电气集团现金多于债务的事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明该集团有能力安全地管理债务。

In fact Changgao Electric Group's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 36% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Changgao Electric Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

事实上,长高电气集团的可取之处在于其较低的债务水平,因为它的息税前利润在过去12个月里暴跌了36%。收益下降(如果这种趋势持续下去)最终可能会使规模不大的债务面临相当大的风险。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务,因为长高电气集团需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,如果你热衷于了解更多关于它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Changgao Electric Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Changgao Electric Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。虽然长高电气集团的资产负债表上有净现金,但它将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力仍值得一看,以帮助我们了解它正在以多快的速度建立(或侵蚀)现金余额。在过去的三年里,长高电气集团的自由现金流总体上出现了大幅负增长。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况会在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着它使用债务的风险更大。

Summing up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Changgao Electric Group has net cash of CN¥567.0m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Changgao Electric Group's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Changgao Electric Group that you should be aware of.

虽然我们同情那些对债务感到担忧的投资者,但你应该记住,长高电气集团拥有5.67亿元人民币的净现金,流动资产多于负债。因此,我们对长高电气集团的债务使用并不感到困扰。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经确定长高电气集团的3个警示标志这一点你应该知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资于可以在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的企业,那么看看这个免费资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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