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What Swancor Advanced Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688585) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

What Swancor Advanced Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688585) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

斯旺科先进材料有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:688585)25%的股价涨幅没有告诉你什么
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/24 18:37

Those holding Swancor Advanced Materials Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688585) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 18% in the last twelve months.

持有者斯旺科先进材料有限公司。(上海证券交易所:688585)股价在过去30天里反弹了25%,股价会松一口气,但它需要继续努力修复最近对投资者投资组合造成的损害。但并不是所有的股东都会感到欢欣鼓舞,因为在过去的12个月里,该公司股价仍下跌了非常令人失望的18%。

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider Swancor Advanced Materials as a stock to avoid entirely with its 72.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

在股价如此大幅上涨之后,鉴于近一半的中国公司的市盈率(或“市盈率”)低于31倍,你可能会考虑将斯旺科先进材料视为一只股票,以避免其72.2倍的市盈率。尽管如此,我们还需要更深入地挖掘,以确定市盈率大幅上升是否有合理的基础。

For instance, Swancor Advanced Materials' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

例如,斯旺科先进材料公司近期不断下滑的收益肯定值得深思。一种可能性是,市盈率很高,因为投资者认为该公司在不久的将来仍将采取足够的措施来跑赢大盘。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的生存能力感到相当紧张。

Check out our latest analysis for Swancor Advanced Materials

查看我们对Swancor高级材料的最新分析

SHSE:688585 Price Based on Past Earnings May 24th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Swancor Advanced Materials, take a look at this
上海证券交易所:688585价格基于过去的收益2022年5月24日虽然没有分析师对Swancor先进材料的估计,但看看这个
free
免费
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
丰富的数据可视化,看看公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何堆积的。

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

增长是否与高市盈率相匹配?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Swancor Advanced Materials would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

为了证明其市盈率是合理的,斯旺科先进材料需要实现远远超出市场的出色增长。

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 58%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 70% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

如果我们回顾过去一年的收益,令人沮丧的是,该公司的利润下降了58%。然而,在此之前的几年非常强劲,这意味着在过去的三年里,它仍然能够以令人印象深刻的70%的每股收益增长。尽管这是一段坎坷的旅程,但公平地说,最近的收益增长对公司来说已经绰绰有余。

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

将最近的中期收益轨迹与大盘一年增长37%的预期进行比较,结果显示,按年率计算,它的吸引力明显下降。

With this information, we find it concerning that Swancor Advanced Materials is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

有了这些信息,我们发现斯旺科先进材料的市盈率高于市场。似乎大多数投资者忽视了最近相当有限的增长率,并希望该公司的业务前景有所好转。如果市盈率下降到与最近的增长率更一致的水平,现有股东很可能会让自己未来感到失望。

The Final Word

最后的结论

Swancor Advanced Materials' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

斯旺克先进材料公司的市盈率正在飙升,就像它的股票在过去一个月里一样。仅仅用市盈率来决定你是否应该出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成为公司未来前景的实用指南。

Our examination of Swancor Advanced Materials revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我们对斯旺科先进材料公司的调查显示,该公司三年的盈利趋势对其高市盈率的影响并不像我们预期的那么大,因为它们看起来比目前的市场预期更糟糕。目前,我们对高市盈率越来越感到不安,因为这种盈利表现不太可能长期支撑这种积极情绪。除非最近的中期状况明显改善,否则要接受这些价格是合理的是非常具有挑战性的。

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Swancor Advanced Materials (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

在你决定你的观点之前,我们发现斯旺科先进材料的2个警告标志(%1与我们的关系不太好!)这一点你应该知道。

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

如果你对市盈率感兴趣,你可能想看看这个免费其他盈利增长强劲、市盈率低于20倍的公司。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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