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Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit Co., Ltd. (HKG:1577) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 33% Price Plummet

Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit Co., Ltd. (HKG:1577) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 33% Price Plummet

泉州汇信小额信贷有限公司(HKG:1577)可能跑得太快了,最近价格暴跌33%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/23 18:56

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit Co., Ltd. (HKG:1577) share price has dived 33% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 52% loss during that time.

不幸的是,对于一些股东来说,泉州市汇信小额信贷有限公司。(HKG:1577)股价在过去30天里暴跌33%,延续了最近的痛苦。最近的下跌为股东们灾难性的12个月画上了句号,在此期间,他们坐拥52%的损失。

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit's P/E ratio of 7.4x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Hong Kong is also close to 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

尽管股价大幅下跌,但你对泉州汇信7.4倍的市盈率漠不关心也是情有可原的,因为香港的市盈率中值也接近9倍。然而,如果市盈率没有理性基础,投资者可能会忽视一个明显的机会或潜在的挫折。

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit's earnings have been unimpressive. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

我们不得不说,在过去一年没有明显增长的情况下,泉州汇信小额信贷的收益并不令人印象深刻。许多人可能预计,在未来一段时间里,平淡无奇的盈利表现最多只能与大多数其他公司匹敌,这阻止了市盈率的上升。如果你喜欢这家公司,你会希望情况并非如此,这样你就可以在它不太受欢迎的时候买入一些股票。

See our latest analysis for Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit

请看我们对泉州汇信小额信贷的最新分析

SEHK:1577 Price Based on Past Earnings May 23rd 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit, take a look at this
联交所:1577基于过去收益的价格2022年5月23日虽然没有分析师对泉州汇信小额信贷的估计,但看看这个。
free
免费
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
丰富的数据可视化,看看公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何堆积的。

Is There Some Growth For Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit?

泉州汇信小额信贷有没有增长?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit's to be considered reasonable.

有一种固有的假设,即一家公司的市盈率应该与市场相符,比如泉州汇信的市盈率才被认为是合理的。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 52% decline in EPS over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

回顾过去一年,该公司的利润几乎与前一年持平。这并不是股东们所期待的,因为这意味着他们的每股收益在过去三年里总共下降了52%。因此,股东们会对中期盈利增长率感到悲观。

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.

将这一中期收益轨迹与大盘一年增长17%的预期进行比较,可以看出这是一个令人不快的前景。

With this information, we find it concerning that Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

有了这些信息,我们发现泉州汇信小额信贷的市盈率与市场相当接近。似乎大多数投资者都忽视了最近糟糕的增长率,并希望该公司的业务前景有所好转。如果市盈率下降到与最近负增长更一致的水平,现有股东很可能会让自己未来感到失望。

The Bottom Line On Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit's P/E

泉州汇信小额信贷市盈率底线

With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit looks quite average now. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

在股价下跌的情况下,泉州汇信小额信贷目前的市盈率看起来相当平均。虽然市盈率不应该是你是否买入一只股票的决定性因素,但它是一个很好的盈利预期晴雨表。

We've established that Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我们已经确定,泉州汇信小额信贷目前的市盈率高于预期,因为它最近的收益在中期内一直在下降。目前,我们对市盈率感到不安,因为这种盈利表现不太可能长期支持更积极的情绪。除非最近的中期状况有所改善,否则很难接受这些价格是合理的。

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 6 warning signs for Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

别忘了,可能还有其他风险。例如,我们已经确定泉州汇信小额信贷的6个警示标志(1是关于的)你应该知道。

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

当然了,你也许还能找到比泉州汇信小额信贷更好的股票。所以你可能想看看这个免费市盈率低于20倍、盈利增长强劲的其他公司的集合。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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