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Shareholders 14% loss in Henderson Land Development (HKG:12) partly attributable to the company's decline in earnings over past three years

Shareholders 14% loss in Henderson Land Development (HKG:12) partly attributable to the company's decline in earnings over past three years

恒基地产(HKG:12)股东亏损14%部分归因于公司过去三年盈利下降
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/20 19:15

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Henderson Land Development Company Limited (HKG:12) shareholders, since the share price is down 26% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 2.5%.

作为一名投资者,努力确保你的整体投资组合超过市场平均水平是值得的。但几乎可以肯定的是,有时你会买入低于市场平均回报率的股票。不幸的是,从长远来看,情况就是这样恒基地产股份有限公司(HKG:12)股东,因为股价在过去三年下跌26%,远低于市场约2.5%的跌幅。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

尽管过去一周对股东来说更令人安心,但他们在过去三年仍处于亏损状态,所以让我们看看基础业务是否对股价下跌负有责任。

See our latest analysis for Henderson Land Development

参见我们对恒基地产的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的企业表现。考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During the three years that the share price fell, Henderson Land Development's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 25% each year. In comparison the 10% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term.

在股价下跌的三年里,恒基地产的每股收益(EPS)每年下降25%。相比之下,10%的复合年度股价跌幅没有每股收益下跌那么严重。因此,尽管之前令人失望,但从长远来看,股东们必须对情况会有所改善有一定的信心。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(单击图表可查看精确值)。

SEHK:12 Earnings Per Share Growth May 20th 2022
联交所:2022年5月20日每股收益增长12

We know that Henderson Land Development has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

我们知道恒基地产最近提高了利润,但它会增长收入吗?你可以看看这个免费显示分析师收入预测的报告。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Henderson Land Development's TSR for the last 3 years was -14%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。TSR包括任何剥离或贴现融资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。碰巧的是,恒基地产最近3年的TSR为-14%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。该公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Henderson Land Development shares lost 3.2% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 23%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.8%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Henderson Land Development better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Henderson Land Development has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

虽然看到恒基地产的股价全年下跌3.2%肯定令人失望,但这并没有股市下跌23%那么糟糕。较长期的投资者不会如此沮丧,因为他们在五年内每年会获得1.8%的收益。在最好的情况下,去年只是通向更光明未来的旅途中的一个暂时的转折点。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但要更好地理解恒基地产,我们还需要考虑许多其他因素。以冒险为例-恒基地产有2个警告标志(还有一点令人担忧)我们认为你应该知道。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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