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Improved Earnings Required Before China Beststudy Education Group (HKG:3978) Stock's 74% Jump Looks Justified

Improved Earnings Required Before China Beststudy Education Group (HKG:3978) Stock's 74% Jump Looks Justified

中国贝斯特教育集团(HKG:3978)股价上涨74%看起来合情合理
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/19 20:11

China Beststudy Education Group (HKG:3978) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 74% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 81% share price decline over the last year.

中国贝斯特教育集团(HKG:3978)股东们会兴奋地看到,股价在一个月内表现出色,上涨了74%,并从之前的疲软中恢复过来。但上个月对改善去年81%的股价跌幅几乎没有起到什么作用。

In spite of the firm bounce in price, China Beststudy Education Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.2x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 9x and even P/E's higher than 19x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

尽管股价强劲反弹,但中国贝斯特教育集团目前3.2倍的市盈率可能仍在发出非常看涨的信号,因为香港几乎一半的公司的市盈率高于9倍,即使市盈率高于19倍也并不少见。尽管如此,仅仅从面值来看待市盈率是不明智的,因为可能会有一个解释,为什么它如此有限。

For instance, China Beststudy Education Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

例如,中国贝斯特教育集团(China BestStudy Education Group)最近不断下滑的收益肯定值得深思。一种可能性是,市盈率较低是因为投资者认为该公司在不久的将来不会采取足够的措施来避免表现逊于大盘。然而,如果这不是最终的结果,那么现有股东可能对未来股价的走势感到乐观。

View our latest analysis for China Beststudy Education Group

查看我们对China BestStudy教育集团的最新分析

SEHK:3978 Price Based on Past Earnings May 19th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
联交所:3978基于过去收益的价格2022年5月19日想要了解公司的收益、收入和现金流的全貌吗?那么我们的
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report on China Beststudy Education Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
关于中国贝斯特教育集团的报道,将帮助你了解其历史业绩。

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

增长是否与低市盈率相匹配?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as China Beststudy Education Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

只有当中国贝斯特教育集团的增长明显落后于市场时,你才会真正放心地看到该公司的市盈率如此低迷。

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 25% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

先回过头来看,该公司去年的每股收益增长并不值得兴奋,因为它公布了令人失望的27%的降幅。无论如何,得益于早期的增长,每股收益比三年前总共提高了25%。因此,我们可以从确认该公司在这段时间内总体上在收益增长方面做得很好开始,尽管在此过程中出现了一些小问题。

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

这与其他市场形成对比,后者预计明年将增长17%,大大高于该公司最近的中期年化增长率。

With this information, we can see why China Beststudy Education Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

有了这些信息,我们就可以理解为什么中国贝斯特教育集团的市盈率低于市场。显然,许多股东对持有一只他们认为将继续追随该交易所走势的股票感到不安。

What We Can Learn From China Beststudy Education Group's P/E?

中国贝斯特教育集团的P/E能给我们什么启示?

Even after such a strong price move, China Beststudy Education Group's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

即使在如此强劲的价格波动之后,中国贝斯特教育集团的市盈率仍明显落后于市场其他板块。虽然市盈率不应该是你是否买入一只股票的决定性因素,但它是一个很好的盈利预期晴雨表。

We've established that China Beststudy Education Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

我们已经确定,中国贝斯特教育集团维持其低市盈率,原因是其最近三年的增长低于更广泛的市场预期,正如预期的那样。在这个阶段,投资者认为盈利改善的潜力还不够大,不足以证明提高市盈率是合理的。如果近期的中期盈利趋势继续下去,在这种情况下,很难看到股价在不久的将来强劲上涨。

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for China Beststudy Education Group that you should be aware of.

在你决定你的观点之前,我们发现中国贝斯特教育集团的4个警示信号这一点你应该知道。

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Beststudy Education Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

如果这些风险让你重新考虑对中国贝斯特教育集团的看法,探索我们的高质量股票互动列表,以了解还有什么。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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