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Why JY Grandmark Holdings' (HKG:2231) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why JY Grandmark Holdings' (HKG:2231) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么JY Grandmark Holdings(HKG:2231)不稳定的收益只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/19 19:21

The subdued market reaction suggests that JY Grandmark Holdings Limited's (HKG:2231) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

低迷的市场反应表明JY Grandmark Holdings Limited的(HKG:2231)最近的收益不包含任何意外。我们的分析表明,除了疲软的利润数据外,投资者还应该意识到数字中的其他一些潜在弱点。

View our latest analysis for JY Grandmark Holdings

查看我们对JY Grandmark Holdings的最新分析

SEHK:2231 Earnings and Revenue History May 19th 2022
联交所:2231盈利及收入历史2022年5月19日

Zooming In On JY Grandmark Holdings' Earnings

放大JY Grandmark Holdings的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

许多投资者都没有听说过现金流应计比率但它实际上是衡量一家公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)支持公司利润的程度的有用指标。应计制比率从给定期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。虽然应计比率为正并不是问题,这表明非现金利润达到了一定的水平,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明账面利润与现金流不匹配。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计制比率往往会导致较低的利润或较低的利润增长。

Over the twelve months to December 2021, JY Grandmark Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.28. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥216.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥1.7b in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥1.7b, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2021年12月的12个月内,JY Grandmark Holdings的应计比率为0.28。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远低于其法定利润,这让我们怀疑利润作为指导的效用。尽管它报告了2.164亿加元的利润,但看看自由现金流就会发现,它在去年实际上烧掉了17亿加元。在去年自由现金流为负的情况下,我们可以想象,一些股东可能会怀疑,该公司今年17亿元的现金消耗是否意味着高风险。然而,这并不是需要考虑的全部问题。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of JY Grandmark Holdings.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对JY Grandmark Holdings的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的项目如何影响利润?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥25m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If JY Grandmark Holdings doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

该公司去年有一些不寻常的项目使利润增加了2500万加元,这一事实可能在某种程度上解释了为什么它的应计比率如此之低。虽然有更高的利润总是好事,但不寻常的东西带来的巨大贡献有时会挫伤我们的热情。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大的不寻常项目往往不会重复。毕竟,这正是会计术语所暗示的。如果JY Grandmark Holdings没有看到这种贡献再次出现,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计该公司今年的利润将会下降。

Our Take On JY Grandmark Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对JY Grandmark Holdings的利润表现的看法

Summing up, JY Grandmark Holdings received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at JY Grandmark Holdings' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about JY Grandmark Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for JY Grandmark Holdings you should be mindful of and 2 of these bad boys don't sit too well with us.

综上所述,JY Grandmark Holdings从不寻常的项目中获利获得了不错的提振,但无法将账面利润与自由现金流相匹配。基于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼JY Grandmark Holdings的法定利润,可能会让它看起来比潜在层面上的实际情况更好。如果你想更多地了解JY Grandmark Holdings作为一家企业,意识到它面临的任何风险是很重要的。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了JY Grandmark Holdings的4个警告标志你应该注意,这些坏男孩中有两个和我们坐在一起不太好。

Our examination of JY Grandmark Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对JY Grandmark Holdings的调查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可能会让其收益看起来比实际情况更好。在此基础上,我们对此持怀疑态度。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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