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We Think Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material (SHSE:603055) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material (SHSE:603055) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为浙江泰华新材料(上证号:603055)可以继续负债
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/18 18:31

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603055) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李路曾说,最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。我们可以看到浙江泰华新材料有限公司。(上海证券交易所:603055)确实在其业务中使用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当一家企业无法轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他债务就会变得有风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是通过以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。最终,如果公司不能履行其偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能会一无所有地离开。然而,一种更常见(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,许多公司利用债务为增长提供资金,没有任何负面后果。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先同时考虑现金和债务水平。

Check out our latest analysis for Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material

查看我们对浙江泰华新材料的最新分析

What Is Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material's Debt?

浙江泰华新材料的债务是什么?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material had debt of CN¥1.80b, up from CN¥1.52b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.01b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥786.2m.

您可以点击查看更多详细信息的下图显示,截至2022年3月,浙江泰华新材料的债务为人民币18.亿元,而一年的债务为人民币1.52B元。另一方面,它拥有10.1亿加元的现金,导致净债务约为7.862亿加元。

SHSE:603055 Debt to Equity History May 18th 2022
上证综指:603055债转股历史2022年5月18日

A Look At Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material's Liabilities

浙江泰华新材料负债情况一瞥

The latest balance sheet data shows that Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material had liabilities of CN¥2.00b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.32b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.01b as well as receivables valued at CN¥826.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,浙江泰华新材料一年内有20.亿元的负债到期,13.2亿元的负债在一年内到期。作为这些债务的抵消,该公司有10.1亿加元的现金以及8.262亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,该公司的负债总额为人民币14.9亿元,比现金和近期应收账款加起来还要多。

Since publicly traded Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material shares are worth a total of CN¥8.25b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

由于上市的浙江泰华新材料股份总价值82.5亿元人民币,这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控它的资产负债表,以免它变得更糟。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们债务相对于收益的水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA),第二个是其息税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息覆盖)的多少倍。因此,我们考虑债务相对于收益,包括折旧和摊销费用。

Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material has net debt of just 0.91 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 8.9 times the interest expense over the last year. Better yet, Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material grew its EBIT by 116% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

浙江泰华新材料的净债务仅为EBITDA的0.91倍,这表明它肯定不是一个鲁莽的借款人。这一观点得到了坚实的利息覆盖率的支持,息税前利润是去年利息支出的8.9倍。更好的是,浙江泰华新材料去年息税前利润增长了116%,这是一个令人印象深刻的进步。这一提振将使未来偿还债务变得更加容易。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定浙江泰华新材料能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。所以,如果你关注未来,你可以看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润只是不能削减这一点。因此,合乎逻辑的一步是看看息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去的三年里,浙江泰华新材料烧掉了大量的现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务的风险大得多。

Our View

我们的观点

Based on what we've seen Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. Considering this range of data points, we think Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material that you should be aware of before investing here.

根据我们所看到的浙江泰华新材料发现这并不容易,因为它将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,但我们考虑的其他因素给了我们乐观的理由。特别是,它的息税前利润增长率让我们眼花缭乱。考虑到这一范围的数据点,我们认为浙江泰华新材料处于管理其债务水平的有利地位。话虽如此,这笔负担足够沉重,我们建议任何股东都要密切关注。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。例如,我们发现浙江泰华新材料的3个警示标志在这里投资之前你应该意识到这一点。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来看看我们的净现金成长型股票独家名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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