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Investors five-year losses continue as Hang Lung Group (HKG:10) dips a further 4.5% this week, earnings continue to decline

Investors five-year losses continue as Hang Lung Group (HKG:10) dips a further 4.5% this week, earnings continue to decline

投资者连续五年亏损恒隆集团(HKG:10)本周进一步下跌4.5%,盈利继续下降
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/15 20:49

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Hang Lung Group Limited (HKG:10), since the last five years saw the share price fall 56%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 18% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 17% in the same timeframe.

为了证明挑选个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市场指数基金的回报。但在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会喜忧参半。在这一点上,一些股东可能会质疑他们在恒隆集团有限公司(HKG:10),自过去五年股价下跌56%以来。股价最近加速下跌,在过去三个月里下跌了18%。然而,有人可能会辩称,价格受到了大盘的影响,大盘在同一时间段内下跌了17%。

Since Hang Lung Group has shed HK$926m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由于恒隆集团在过去7天里市值缩水9.26亿港元,让我们看看长期下跌是否受到该公司经济状况的推动。

See our latest analysis for Hang Lung Group

请参阅我们对恒隆集团的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原话是:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During five years of share price growth, Hang Lung Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

在股价增长的五年中,恒隆集团实现了扭亏为盈。这通常会被认为是积极的,所以我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。其他指标可能会让我们更好地了解其价值是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. However, revenue has declined at a compound annual rate of 7.2% per year. With dividends up, but revenue down, some investors might be concluding that the company is no longer growing.

稳定的股息并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。然而,收入以每年7.2%的复合年率下降。随着股息增加,但收入下降,一些投资者可能会得出结论,该公司不再增长。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收益和收入随时间的变化(通过单击图像来揭示确切的价值)。

SEHK:10 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 16th 2022
联交所:10盈利及收入增长2022年5月16日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free interactive report on Hang Lung Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我们喜欢的是,内部人士在过去12个月一直在买入股票。话虽如此,大多数人认为盈利和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。这免费如果你想进一步调查恒隆集团的股票,关于恒隆集团收益、收入和现金流的互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Hang Lung Group's TSR for the last 5 years was -45%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。恰好,恒隆集团过去5年的TSR为-45%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Although it hurts that Hang Lung Group returned a loss of 20% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 22%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hang Lung Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hang Lung Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

虽然恒隆集团在过去12个月内录得20%的亏损,令人痛心,但大市的情况其实更差,亏损22%。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年8%的年化损失更糟糕。虽然一些投资者擅长买入那些陷入困境(但估值仍然被低估)的公司,但不要忘记巴菲特曾说过,扭亏为盈的情况很少出现转机。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但要更好地了解恒隆集团,我们还需要考虑许多其他因素。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了恒隆集团的2个警告标志你应该知道,其中有一个是有点令人担忧的。

Hang Lung Group is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

恒隆集团并不是业内人士买入的唯一一只股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费内幕收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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