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One Analyst Just Shaved Their China Bohai Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:9668) Forecasts Dramatically
One Analyst Just Shaved Their China Bohai Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:9668) Forecasts Dramatically
The analyst covering China Bohai Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:9668) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analyst factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously. Shares are up 9.8% to HK$1.34 in the past week. Investors could be forgiven for changing their mind on the business following the downgrade; but it's not clear if the revised forecasts will lead to selling activity.
After this downgrade, China Bohai Bank's lone analyst is now forecasting revenues of CN¥30b in 2022. This would be a substantial 48% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to be CN¥0.44, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Previously, the analyst had been modelling revenues of CN¥38b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.63 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analyst is a lot more bearish about China Bohai Bank's prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
View our latest analysis for China Bohai Bank
SEHK:9668 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 13th 2022The consensus price target fell 66% to CN¥1.05, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analyst is definitely expecting China Bohai Bank's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 48% annualised growth to the end of 2022 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 3.7% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.4% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that China Bohai Bank is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that the analyst has reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for China Bohai Bank. Unfortunately, the analyst also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from the analyst, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of China Bohai Bank.
Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2024, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
The analyst covering China Bohai Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:9668) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analyst factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously. Shares are up 9.8% to HK$1.34 in the past week. Investors could be forgiven for changing their mind on the business following the downgrade; but it's not clear if the revised forecasts will lead to selling activity.
分析师涵盖的中国渤海银行股份有限公司香港上市公司(HKG:9668)今天对股东今年的法定预测进行了大幅修订,给股东们带来了一些负面影响。营收和每股收益(EPS)预期均大幅下调,因为分析师将最新的业务前景考虑在内,得出结论认为它们之前过于乐观。过去一周,该公司股价上涨9.8%,至1.34港元。投资者在评级下调后改变了对该业务的看法,这是情有可原的;但目前尚不清楚修正后的预测是否会导致抛售活动。
After this downgrade, China Bohai Bank's lone analyst is now forecasting revenues of CN¥30b in 2022. This would be a substantial 48% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to be CN¥0.44, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Previously, the analyst had been modelling revenues of CN¥38b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.63 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analyst is a lot more bearish about China Bohai Bank's prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
在此次评级下调后,中国渤海银行唯一的分析师现在预测,2022年的收入将达到300亿元人民币。与过去12个月相比,这将使销售额大幅提高48%。预计法定每股收益为0.44加元,与过去12个月基本持平。此前,这位分析师曾预测2022年的收入为380亿元人民币,每股收益为0.63元人民币。事实上,我们可以看到,分析师对中国渤海银行的前景更为悲观,大幅下调了营收预期,并大幅下调了每股收益预期。
View our latest analysis for China Bohai Bank
查看我们对中国渤海银行的最新分析
The consensus price target fell 66% to CN¥1.05, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.
共识目标股价下跌66%,至1.05元,较弱的盈利前景显然领先于分析师的估值预期。
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analyst is definitely expecting China Bohai Bank's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 48% annualised growth to the end of 2022 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 3.7% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.4% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that China Bohai Bank is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
我们看待这些估计的另一种方式是放在更大的背景下,比如预测与过去的表现如何比较,以及预测相对于行业内的其他公司是更乐观还是更乐观。这位分析师肯定预计中国渤海银行的增长将加快,截至2022年底的年化增长率预测为48%,与过去五年3.7%的历史年增长率相比是有利的。相比之下,我们的数据显示,类似行业的其他公司(有分析师覆盖)的收入预计将以每年9.4%的速度增长。考虑到预计的收入加速增长,很明显,中国渤海银行的增长速度预计将远远快于其行业。
The Bottom Line
底线
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that the analyst has reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for China Bohai Bank. Unfortunately, the analyst also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from the analyst, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of China Bohai Bank.
新的预估中最大的问题是,分析师下调了他们的每股收益预估,这表明中国渤海银行未来将面临业务逆风。不幸的是,这位分析师也下调了他们的收入预期,尽管我们的数据表明,收入预计会比更广泛的市场表现更好。在这位分析师的情绪发生了如此明显的变化后,如果读者现在对中国渤海银行感到有点警惕,我们就会理解了。
Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2024, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
尽管如此,该业务的长期前景比明年的收益更具相关性。至少有一位分析师提供了对2024年的预测,这可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
搜索有趣的公司的另一种方式可能是到达拐点是跟踪管理层是在买入还是在卖出,我们的免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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