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Here's Why Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd (SZSE:002838) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd (SZSE:002838) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

以下是山东黎明集团(深交所股票代码:002838)能够负责任地管理债务的原因
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/10 18:56

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002838) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

一些人说,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但巴菲特曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的同义词。因此,当你评估一家公司的风险有多大时,聪明的投资者似乎知道债务--通常涉及破产--是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到山东黎明聚合物有限公司(SZSE:002838)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是一个担忧吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务在什么时候是危险的?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。在最糟糕的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人的债务,它可能会破产。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司利用债务为增长提供资金,没有任何负面后果。当考虑一家企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的是把现金和债务放在一起看。

View our latest analysis for Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd

查看我们对山东黎明聚合体有限公司的最新分析

What Is Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's Debt?

山东黎明聚合物有限公司的债务是什么?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd had debt of CN¥448.6m, up from CN¥317.0m in one year. However, it also had CN¥359.7m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥89.0m.

你可以点击查看更多细节的下图显示,截至2021年12月,山东黎明聚合有限公司的债务为4.486亿加元,而一年的债务为3.17亿加元。然而,它也有3.597亿新元的现金,因此其净债务为8900万新元。

SZSE:002838 Debt to Equity History May 10th 2022
深圳证交所:002838债转股历史2022年5月10日

How Healthy Is Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's Balance Sheet?

山东黎明聚合物有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd had liabilities of CN¥570.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥392.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥359.7m in cash and CN¥1.02b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥419.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最新报告的资产负债表,山东黎明聚合有限公司有5.704亿加元的负债在12个月内到期,3.92亿加元的负债在12个月后到期。作为抵消,它有3.597亿加元的现金和10.2亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产比总计负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. But either way, Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种短期流动性是一个迹象,表明山东黎明化工股份有限公司很可能可以轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远未捉襟见肘。但无论是哪种情况,山东黎明聚合物有限公司几乎没有净债务,所以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了评估一家公司的债务相对于它的收益,我们计算它的净债务除以它的利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)和它的利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以它的利息支出(它的利息覆盖)。这样,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量,也考虑了为其支付的利率。

Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's net debt is only 0.27 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 28.9 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In fact Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 72% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

山东黎明化工股份有限公司的净债务仅为其息税前利润的0.27倍。而且它的息税前利润很容易弥补利息支出,是其规模的28.9倍。因此,你可以辩称,它不会受到债务的威胁,就像大象受到老鼠的威胁一样。事实上,山东黎明汇业有限公司的可取之处在于其较低的债务水平,因为它的息税前利润在过去12个月里暴跌了72%。说到还债,收入下降并不比含糖汽水对你的健康有什么用处。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但影响未来资产负债表表现的将是山东黎明集团的盈利情况。因此,当考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收益趋势。点击此处查看互动快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd recorded free cash flow of 29% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最后,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,有必要检查这笔息税前利润中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。看看最近三年,山东黎明化工股份有限公司的自由现金流占其息税前利润的29%,这一数字低于我们的预期。这种疲软的现金转换增加了处理债务的难度。

Our View

我们的观点

Based on what we've seen Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

根据我们所看到的,考虑到山东黎明聚合物有限公司的息税前利润增长率,它并不容易做到这一点,但我们考虑的其他因素让我们有理由乐观。毫无疑问,它用息税前利润来弥补利息支出的能力是相当闪光的。当我们考虑到上述所有因素时,我们确实对山东黎明聚合物有限公司的债务使用感到有点谨慎。虽然我们认识到债务可以提高股本回报率,但我们建议股东密切关注其债务水平,以免增加。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了山东黎明聚合体有限公司的2个警告标志你应该知道,其中一个是有点令人不快的。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来看看我们的净现金成长型股票独家名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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