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Yadong Group Holdings (HKG:1795) Posted Weak Earnings But There Is More To Worry About

Yadong Group Holdings (HKG:1795) Posted Weak Earnings But There Is More To Worry About

亚东集团控股(HKG:1795)公布盈利疲软,但还有更多值得担心的问题
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/10 18:33

The market shrugged off Yadong Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:1795) weak earnings report. While shares were up, we believe there are some factors in the earnings report that might cause investors some concerns.

市场对此不屑一顾亚东集团控股有限公司(HKG:1795)盈利报告疲弱。虽然股价上涨,但我们认为收益报告中的一些因素可能会引起投资者的一些担忧。

Check out our latest analysis for Yadong Group Holdings

查看我们对亚东集团控股的最新分析

SEHK:1795 Earnings and Revenue History May 10th 2022
联交所:1795盈利及收入历史2022年5月10日

A Closer Look At Yadong Group Holdings' Earnings

仔细看看亚东集团控股的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如金融书呆子们已经知道的那样,现金流应计比率是评估一家公司的自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。简单地说,这个比率是从净利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该公司在此期间的平均运营资产。你可以把来自现金流的应计比率看作是‘非FCF利润率’。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当一家公司的应计比率为负时,它实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果它的应计比率为正,那就是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,在应计比率相当高的地方。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

For the year to December 2021, Yadong Group Holdings had an accrual ratio of 0.48. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥84m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥35.2m. We also note that Yadong Group Holdings' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥84m. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2021年12月的一年,亚东集团控股的应计比率为0.48。从统计上讲,这对未来的收益是一个真正的负面影响。换句话说,该公司在那段时间没有产生一分钱的自由现金流。在过去的一年里,它实际上负面自由现金流为8400万元,而前述利润为3520万元。我们还注意到,亚东集团控股去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,所以我们可以理解股东是否对其流出的8400万元人民币感到困扰。然而,这并不是需要考虑的全部问题。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yadong Group Holdings.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对亚东集团控股的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的项目如何影响利润?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Yadong Group Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥9.4m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

考虑到应计比率,亚东集团控股的利润在过去12个月里被价值940万元人民币的不寻常项目提振也就不足为奇了。虽然有更高的利润总是好事,但不寻常的东西带来的巨大贡献有时会挫伤我们的热情。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了统计,不寻常的项目在性质上是一次性的,这是非常常见的。考虑到这些提振被描述为“不寻常的”,这正如你所预期的那样。假设这些不同寻常的项目在本年度不会再次出现,我们因此预计明年的利润会更弱(也就是说,在没有业务增长的情况下)。

Our Take On Yadong Group Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对亚东集团控股公司利润表现的看法

Summing up, Yadong Group Holdings received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Yadong Group Holdings' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Yadong Group Holdings (2 are potentially serious!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

综上所述,亚东集团控股从异常项目中获得了不错的利润提振,但无法将账面利润与自由现金流相匹配。基于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼亚东集团控股的法定利润,可能会让它看起来比潜在层面上的实际情况更好。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。当我们做研究时,我们发现亚东集团控股的4个警告信号(2个可能是严重的!)我们认为这值得你的全力关注。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了一些可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。所以你可能想看看这个免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或内部人士正在购买的这份股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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