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Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ever Reach Group (Holdings) (HKG:3616)

Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ever Reach Group (Holdings) (HKG:3616)

强劲的盈利可能不会永远说明问题。Reach Group(Holdings)(HKG:3616)
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/09 18:44

Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company Limited's (HKG:3616) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

永达集团(控股)有限公司(HKG:3616)近期强劲的收益对股价影响不大。我们认为,这是由于投资者将目光投向了法定利润之外,而关注的是他们所看到的。

Check out our latest analysis for Ever Reach Group (Holdings)

查看我们对Ever Reach Group(Holdings)的最新分析

SEHK:3616 Earnings and Revenue History May 9th 2022
联交所:3616盈利及收入历史2022年5月9日

Examining Cashflow Against Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s Earnings

根据Ever Reach Group(Holdings)的收益检查现金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高端金融领域,衡量一家公司将报告利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计制比率从给定期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率向我们展示了一家公司的利润超过了它的FCF的多少。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,这一点值得注意。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Ever Reach Group (Holdings) recorded an accrual ratio of 0.26. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥306.9m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥176m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥885m a year ago though, so Ever Reach Group (Holdings) has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for Ever Reach Group (Holdings) shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

在截至2021年12月的12个月内,Ever Reach Group(Holdings)的应计比率为0.26。因此,我们可以推断,它的自由现金流远远不足以覆盖其法定利润。尽管该公司报告利润为3.069亿加元,但看看自由现金流就会发现,该公司去年实际上烧掉了1.76亿加元。我们看到一年前的FCF是8.85亿加元,所以Ever Reach Group(Holdings)至少在过去能够产生正的FCF。对于Ever Reach Group(Holdings)股东来说,一个积极的因素是,该公司去年的应计比率显著改善,提供了理由相信,该公司未来可能会恢复更强劲的现金转换。如果情况确实如此,股东应该期待本年度相对于利润的现金流有所改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ever Reach Group (Holdings).

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处进入我们对Ever Reach Group(Holdings)的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s Profit Performance

我们对永达集团(控股)的利润表现的看法

Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 7.2% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've found that Ever Reach Group (Holdings) has 3 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

Ever Reach Group(Holdings)过去12个月的应计比率表明,现金转换不太理想,这对我们对其收益的看法是负面的。正因为如此,我们认为永达集团(控股)的法定利润可能好于其潜在的盈利能力。但至少持有者可以从过去三年每股收益7.2%的年增长率中得到一些安慰。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解这家公司,除了以上几个因素之外,考虑其他因素也是至关重要的。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司做更多的分析,了解其中的风险是至关重要的。例如,我们发现Ever Reach Group(Holdings)3个警示标志(1不容忽视!)在进一步分析之前,这一点值得你注意。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

这份报告只关注了揭示Ever Reach Group(Holdings)利润性质的一个因素。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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