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Bank of Shanghai (SHSE:601229) shareholders have endured a 22% loss from investing in the stock five years ago

Bank of Shanghai (SHSE:601229) shareholders have endured a 22% loss from investing in the stock five years ago

上海银行(上海证券交易所股票代码:601229)的股东五年前投资该股损失了22%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/08 20:46

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Bank of Shanghai Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601229), since the last five years saw the share price fall 35%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 11% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 16% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

为了证明挑选个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市场指数基金的回报。但主要的游戏是找到足够多的赢家来抵消输家在这一点上一些股东可能会质疑他们对上海银行股份有限公司。(上交所:601229),自过去五年以来,股价下跌了35%。股价最近加速下跌,在过去三个月里下跌了11%。当然,在此期间,这一股价走势很可能受到了大盘16%跌幅的影响。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在让我们来看看该公司的基本面,看看长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

Check out our latest analysis for Bank of Shanghai

查看我们对上海银行的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原话是:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以感受到投资者对一家公司的态度随着时间的推移发生了怎样的变化。

While the share price declined over five years, Bank of Shanghai actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 6.5% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管股价在五年内下跌,但上海银行实际上成功地增加每股收益平均每年增长6.5%。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑,每股收益不是这段时间内业务表现的良好指南(可能是因为一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,增长预期在过去可能是不合理的。

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

由于每股收益增长率和股价增长率之间的鲜明对比,我们倾向于通过其他指标来了解围绕股票不断变化的市场情绪。

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

我们注意到,股息一直保持健康,因此这并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。我们目前还不清楚为什么股价会下跌,但进一步的研究可能会提供一些答案。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收益和收入随时间的变化(通过单击图像来揭示确切的价值)。

SHSE:601229 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 9th 2022
上海证交所:601229收益和收入增长2022年5月9日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. If you are thinking of buying or selling Bank of Shanghai stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我们很高兴地报告,这位首席执行官的薪酬比类似资本公司的大多数首席执行官都要低。但是,尽管CEO的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是,公司能否在未来实现收益增长。如果你正在考虑买卖上海银行的股票,你应该看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Bank of Shanghai the TSR over the last 5 years was -22%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。我们注意到,上海银行过去5年的TSR为-22%,好于上面提到的股价回报率。该公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 14% in the twelve months, Bank of Shanghai shareholders did even worse, losing 19% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Bank of Shanghai you should be aware of.

虽然大盘在过去12个月里下跌了约14%,但上海银行股东的表现更糟,下跌了19%(甚至包括股息)。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本面的发展。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年4%的年化损失更糟糕。一般来说,股价长期疲软可能是一个坏信号,尽管反向投资者可能会希望研究这只股票,希望它能好转。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。举个例子:我们发现了上海银行的一个警告标志,你应该注意。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更愿意看看另一家公司--一家财务状况可能更好的公司--那么不要错过这一点免费已证明自己能够实现盈利增长的公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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